2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
WAS @ NYG – Week 7 2023
WAS
NYG
WAS
AWAY
7@14
NYG +7
FINAL · WEEK 7
2023 SEASON
NYG
HOME
TIER B
PICK: WAS
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: WAS 62%Projected margin: -2.5
WAS
PICK SIDE
-3.0
SPREAD
-2.5
PROJ MARGIN
-154
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
WAS B-tier pick misses. NYG takes it.
MISSED
Model picked WAS but NYG won. Projected margin was 2.5 -- the model overestimated by 9.5 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 2 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 10.0 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -3.0 | WAS market line | |
| MODEL ML | -154 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -162 | Lost · -$1.00 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
WAS
Divisional 1-4 ATS (20%)Home Underdog 0-4 ATS (0%)
NYG
Home Underdog 5-2 ATS (71%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
54°F
WIND
14 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2023 SEASON
WAS
Sam Howell
QB
257.5SEASON PPR
Terry McLaurin
WR
203.2SEASON PPR
Brian Robinson
RB
198.1SEASON PPR
NYG
Saquon Barkley
RB
223.2SEASON PPR
Darius Slayton
WR
151.0SEASON PPR
Wan'Dale Robinson
INJURY REPORTWEEK 7
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| WAS@NYGW15 2025 | WAS 29, NYG 21 | WAS | W |
| NYG@WASW1 2025 | NYG 6, WAS 21 | WAS | W |
| WAS@NYGW9 2024 | WAS 27, NYG 22 | WAS | W |
| NYG@WASW2 2024 | NYG 18, WAS 21 | WAS | W |
| NYG@WASW11 2023 | NYG 31, WAS 19 | WAS | L |
WEEK 7 · OTHER GAMES