2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
PIT @ LA – Week 7 2023
PIT
LA
PIT
AWAY
24@17
PIT +7
FINAL · WEEK 7
2023 SEASON
LA
HOME
TIER C
PICK: PIT
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: PIT 63%Projected margin: -1.6
PIT
PICK SIDE
+3.5
SPREAD
-1.6
PROJ MARGIN
+165
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
PIT C-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked PIT. Projected margin: 1.6. Actual: 7. Off by 5.4 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 5 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 10.5 points.
Another data point for the model. C-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | +3.5 | PIT market line | |
| MODEL ML | +165 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | +145 | Won · +$1.65 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
PIT
Divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)Home Underdog 3-2 ATS (60%)
LA
Divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2023 SEASON
PIT
George Pickens
WR
208.8SEASON PPR
Jaylen Warren
RB
196.4SEASON PPR
Najee Harris
RB
195.5SEASON PPR
LA
Puka Nacua
WR
298.5SEASON PPR
Kyren Williams
RB
255.0SEASON PPR
Matthew Stafford
QB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 7
WEEK 7 · OTHER GAMES