2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
LV @ CHI – Week 7 2023
LV
CHI
LV
AWAY
12@30
CHI +18
FINAL · WEEK 7
2023 SEASON
CHI
HOME
TIER B
PICK: LV
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: LV 71%Projected margin: -5.3
LV
PICK SIDE
-2.5
SPREAD
-5.3
PROJ MARGIN
-143
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
LV B-tier pick misses. CHI takes it.
MISSED
Model picked LV but CHI won. Projected margin was 5.3 -- the model overestimated by 23.3 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 2 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 20.5 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -2.5 | LV market line | |
| MODEL ML | -143 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -142 | Lost · -$1.00 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
LV
Divisional 4-1 ATS (80%)
CHI
No noteworthy trends
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
52°F
WIND
8 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2023 SEASON
LV
Davante Adams
WR
265.4SEASON PPR
Jakobi Meyers
WR
218.6SEASON PPR
Josh Jacobs
RB
181.1SEASON PPR
CHI
DJ Moore
WR
286.5SEASON PPR
Justin Fields
QB
230.2SEASON PPR
Cole Kmet
TE
INJURY REPORTWEEK 7
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CHI@LVW4 2025 | CHI 25, LV 24 | LV | L |
| CHI@LVW5 2021 | CHI 20, LV 9 | LV | L |
WEEK 7 · OTHER GAMES