2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
MIN @ DET – Week 17 2020
MIN
DET
MIN
AWAY
37@35
MIN +2
FINAL · WEEK 17
2020 SEASON
DET
HOME
TIER C
PICK: MIN
PICK WONATS ✗
Model confidence: MIN 61%Projected margin: -4.8
MIN
PICK SIDE
-3.0
SPREAD
-4.8
PROJ MARGIN
-154
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
MIN C-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected MIN by 4.8. Actual: 2 points. The model was within 2.8 points of the real margin.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 3 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
BAD BEAT
Missed the spread by just 1.0 point -- a bad-beat loss.
Another data point for the model. C-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -3.0 | MIN market line | |
| MODEL ML | -154 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -161 | Won · +$0.65 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
MIN
No noteworthy trends
DET
Home Underdog 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
MIN
Dalvin Cook
RB
337.8SEASON PPR
Kirk Cousins
QB
306.2SEASON PPR
Justin Jefferson
WR
274.2SEASON PPR
DET
Matthew Stafford
QB
260.6SEASON PPR
Marvin Jones
WR
227.8SEASON PPR
D'Andre Swift
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 17
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| DET@MINW17 2025 | DET 10, MIN 23 | DET | L |
| MIN@DETW9 2025 | MIN 27, DET 24 | DET | L |
| MIN@DETW18 2024 | MIN 9, DET 31 | DET | W |
| DET@MINW7 2024 | DET 31, MIN 29 | DET | W |
| MIN@DETW18 2023 | MIN 20, DET 30 | DET | W |
WEEK 17 · OTHER GAMES