2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
WAS @ PHI – Week 17 2020
WAS
PHI
WAS
AWAY
20@14
WAS +6
FINAL · WEEK 17
2020 SEASON
PHI
HOME
TIER B
PICK: WAS
PICK WONATS ✗
Model confidence: WAS 55%Projected margin: -2.4
WAS
PICK SIDE
-6.5
SPREAD
-2.4
PROJ MARGIN
-255
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
WAS B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked WAS. Projected margin: 2.4. Actual: 6. Off by 3.6 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 7 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
BAD BEAT
Missed the spread by just 0.5 points -- a bad-beat loss.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -6.5 | WAS market line | |
| MODEL ML | -255 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -283 | Won · +$0.39 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
WAS
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Home Underdog 4-2 ATS (67%)
PHI
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
38°F
WIND
10 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
WAS
Terry McLaurin
WR
223.8SEASON PPR
Antonio Gibson
RB
202.2SEASON PPR
J.D. McKissic
RB
191.4SEASON PPR
PHI
Carson Wentz
QB
198.4SEASON PPR
Miles Sanders
RB
170.4SEASON PPR
Greg Ward
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 17
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| WAS@PHIW18 2025 | WAS 24, PHI 17 | PHI | L |
| PHI@WASW16 2025 | PHI 29, WAS 18 | PHI | W |
| PHI@WASW16 2024 | PHI 33, WAS 36 | PHI | L |
| WAS@PHIW11 2024 | WAS 18, PHI 26 | PHI | W |
| PHI@WASW8 2023 | PHI 38, WAS 31 | PHI | W |
WEEK 17 · OTHER GAMES