2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
ARI @ LA – Week 17 2020
ARI
LA
ARI
AWAY
7@18
LA +11
FINAL · WEEK 17
2020 SEASON
LA
HOME
TIER B
PICK: LA
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: LA 54%Projected margin: 1.9
LA
PICK SIDE
-1.0
SPREAD
1.9
PROJ MARGIN
-115
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
LA B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked LA. Projected margin: 1.9. Actual: 11. Off by 9.1 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 4 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 10.0 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -1.0 | LA market line | |
| MODEL ML | -115 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -125 | Won · +$0.87 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
ARI
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
LA
No noteworthy trends
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
ARI
Kyler Murray
QB
378.7SEASON PPR
DeAndre Hopkins
WR
287.8SEASON PPR
Kenyan Drake
RB
192.2SEASON PPR
LA
Robert Woods
WR
245.1SEASON PPR
Jared Goff
QB
240.0SEASON PPR
Cooper Kupp
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 17
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARI@LAW18 2025 | ARI 20, LA 37 | LA | W |
| LA@ARIW14 2025 | LA 45, ARI 17 | LA | W |
| ARI@LAW17 2024 | ARI 9, LA 13 | LA | W |
| LA@ARIW2 2024 | LA 10, ARI 41 | LA | L |
| LA@ARIW12 2023 | LA 37, ARI 14 | LA | W |
WEEK 17 · OTHER GAMES