LV @ DEN – Week 17 2020

DEN C-tier pick misses. LV takes it.

Model picked DEN but LV won. Projected margin was 0.8 -- the model overestimated by 0.2 points.

The win probability swung past 50% 5 times. One of the wildest games of the week.

This pick covered the spread by 1.5 points.

Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.