TIER BPICK: DAL
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: DAL 56%Projected margin: -3.1
GAME NARRATIVE
DAL B-tier pick misses. NYG takes it.
MISSED
Model picked DAL but NYG won. Projected margin was 3.1 -- the model overestimated by 7.1 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 4 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 5.5 points.
COLD GAME
33°F at game time. Expect suppressed passing efficiency and lower scoring.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
DAL
Divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)
NYG
Divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
INJURY REPORTWEEK 17
DAL4 LISTEDRashard Robinson
CB · Knee
OUT
Leighton Vander Esch
LB · Ankle
OUT
Darian Thompson
S · Concussion
QUESTIONABLE
NYG3 LISTEDHEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS