2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
PIT @ CLE – Week 17 2020
PIT
CLE
PIT
AWAY
22@24
CLE +2
FINAL · WEEK 17
2020 SEASON
CLE
HOME
TIER C
PICK: CLE
PICK WONATS ✗
Model confidence: CLE 51%Projected margin: -0.1
CLE
PICK SIDE
-10.5
SPREAD
-0.1
PROJ MARGIN
-453
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
CLE C-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected CLE by 0.1. Actual: 2 points. The model was within 2.1 points of the real margin.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 8.5 points.
Another data point for the model. C-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -10.5 | CLE market line | |
| MODEL ML | -453 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -460 | Won · +$0.22 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
PIT
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
CLE
Windy 2-3 ATS (40%)Divisional 0-6 ATS (0%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
38°F
WIND
7 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
PIT
Ben Roethlisberger
QB
267.2SEASON PPR
JuJu Smith-Schuster
WR
234.1SEASON PPR
Diontae Johnson
WR
223.8SEASON PPR
CLE
Baker Mayfield
QB
248.6SEASON PPR
Kareem Hunt
RB
218.5SEASON PPR
Nick Chubb
INJURY REPORTWEEK 17
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| PIT@CLEW17 2025 | PIT 6, CLE 13 | PIT | L |
| CLE@PITW6 2025 | CLE 9, PIT 23 | PIT | W |
| CLE@PITW14 2024 | CLE 14, PIT 27 | PIT | W |
| PIT@CLEW12 2024 | PIT 19, CLE 24 | PIT | L |
| PIT@CLEW11 2023 | PIT 10, CLE 13 | PIT | L |
WEEK 17 · OTHER GAMES