CHI @ MIN – Week 18 2026
CHI
MIN
CHI
AWAY
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 18 · 2026 SEASON
MIN
HOME
OUR PICK
Model confidence: MIN 59%Projected margin: -1.1
MIN
PICK SIDE
—
SPREAD
-1.1
PROJ MARGIN
—
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
+0.061Net EPA / play-0.016
+0.080Offense EPA / play-0.116
+0.018Defense EPA / play-0.100
45.8%Offense success %42.6%
46.7%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
WHY THIS PICK
MIN is our early forecast in CHI @ MIN (Week 18, 2026). The model assigns 59.2% confidence and projects MIN by 1.1. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so the model re-runs this forecast every Wednesday as the season plays out.
MODEL CONVICTION
Split. The model leans this way with less conviction.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | — | MIN market line | |
| MONEYLINE | Moneyline not recorded for this game | ||
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
CHI
C.Williams
QB
318.2SEASON PPR
D.Swift
RB
228.6SEASON PPR
D.Moore
WR
172.2SEASON PPR
MIN
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Chicago BearsPASSING
C.Williams3942 yd · 27 TD · 7 INT
RUSHING
D.Swift1087 yd · 9 TD
K.Monangai783 yd · 5 TD
C.Williams383 yd · 3 TD
RECEIVING
C.Loveland58 rec · 713 yd · 6 TD
D.Moore50 rec · 682 yd · 6 TD
R.Odunze44 rec · 661 yd · 6 TD
L.Burden47 rec · 652 yd · 2 TD
VS
3,942PASSyds1,632
2,253RUSHyds
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIN@CHIW2 2026 | — | CHI | — |
| CHI@MINW11 2025 | CHI 19, MIN 17 | CHI | W |
| MIN@CHIW1 2025 | MIN 27, CHI 24 | MIN | W |
| CHI@MINW15 2024 | CHI 12, MIN 30 | MIN | W |
| MIN@CHIW12 2024 | MIN 30, CHI 27 | MIN | W |
COMMON QUESTIONSCHI vs MIN
Who is favored in Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings?
Our model takes Minnesota Vikings at 59% win probability. The margin models project MIN by 1.1. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
When do the Chicago Bears and Minnesota Vikings play?
Week 18 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Who won the last Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings game?
Chicago Bears, 19-17 in Week 11 of 2025.
Which team has been better, the Chicago Bears or the Minnesota Vikings?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Chicago Bears: CHI +0.061 against MIN -0.016.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
