Bears vs Vikings – Week 18 2026
CHI
MIN
CHI
AWAY
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 18 · 2026 SEASON
U.S. Bank Stadium · Minneapolis, MN
MIN
HOME
OUR PICK
THE SHORT ANSWER
Our model favors the Vikings over the Bears at 66% win probability. No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Model confidence: MIN 66%Our line: MIN -5.7
80% range around our line: CHI by 12 to MIN by 23. Four games in five land inside it.
Betting the MIN game? Pro shows whether we flag it as a bet, at what price, and your stake at your unit size →
ODDS
SPREAD
MIN —
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
MIN -5.7
OUR LINE
MONEYLINE
MIN · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
66%
MIN · MARKET WIN PROBABILITY
53%
PREGAME SNAPSHOTWEEK 18 · WHAT MATTERS AT KICKOFF
TEAM COMPARISON2026 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES
+0.008Net EPA / play+0.111
+0.023 (12)Offense EPA / play-0.099 (28)
+0.015 (20)Defense EPA / play-0.210 (1)
46.1% (11)Offense success %35.9% (32)
PROJECTED MARGINHOW THE FINAL SCORE COULD LAND
GAME NARRATIVE
Early forecast: MIN at 66%, backed by epa edge.
EPA EDGE
MIN generates -0.099 EPA/play on offense. CHI's defense allows 0.015. That's a top-tier efficiency gap.
H2H EDGE
MIN has won 4 of the last 5 meetings against CHI.
Net-positive signal profile for MIN. This forecast updates every Wednesday as the season plays out.
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2026 SEASON
MIN
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2026 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Chicago BearsPASSING
T.Bagent409 yd · 0 TD · 3 INT
RECEIVING
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIN@CHIW2 2026 | MIN 9, CHI 3 | CHI | L |
| CHI@MINW11 2025 | CHI 19, MIN 17 | CHI | W |
| MIN@CHIW1 2025 | MIN 27, CHI 24 | MIN | W |
| CHI@MINW15 2024 | CHI 12, MIN 30 | MIN | W |
| MIN@CHIW12 2024 | MIN 30, CHI 27 | MIN | W |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 18 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSCHI vs MIN
Our model takes Minnesota Vikings at 66% win probability. The margin models project MIN by 5.7. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
Our model favors Minnesota Vikings at 66% win probability.
No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
NoPunt's model projects 47.8 combined points. No sportsbook total has been posted for this game yet.
Week 18 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Minnesota Vikings, MIN 9, CHI 3 in Week 2 of 2026.
By net EPA per play over the 2026 season, Minnesota Vikings: CHI +0.008 against MIN +0.111.
