TEAM COMPARISON2026 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES
-0.196Net EPA / play-0.054
-0.127 (30)Offense EPA / play-0.019 (17)
+0.069 (24)Defense EPA / play+0.036 (22)
36.2% (31)Offense success %42.1% (20)
PROJECTED MARGINHOW THE FINAL SCORE COULD LAND
WHY THIS PICK
NYG is our early forecast in PHI @ NYG (Week 18, 2026). The model assigns 58% confidence and projects NYG by 2.9. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so the model re-runs this forecast every Wednesday as the season plays out.
MODEL AGREEMENT
The three models split on this game. The majority side is what we publish, and it carries less weight than a unanimous one.
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
Our model takes New York Giants at 58% win probability. The margin models project NYG by 2.9. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
Our model favors New York Giants at 58% win probability.
No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
NoPunt's model projects 46.2 combined points. No sportsbook total has been posted for this game yet.
Week 18 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Philadelphia Eagles, NYG 20, PHI 38 in Week 8 of 2025.
By net EPA per play over the 2026 season, New York Giants: PHI -0.196 against NYG -0.054.
WIN % is each book’s odds as a win chance, with the book’s cut taken out. The card above is their average. Last synced Sun 1:00 PM ET.
OPEN · CURRENT · MODEL
MARKET
OPEN
CURRENT
MODEL
SPREAD
NYG +3.0
NYG +3.0
NYG -2.9
MONEYLINE
NYG +130
NYG +136
NYG -140
NYG's moneyline moved from +130 to +136 since it opened.
OPEN is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the true market opener. OPEN and CURRENT are the median across books, rounded to the half point. CURRENT excludes any price posted after kickoff.
44.9% (24)Defense success %46.2% (26)
-0.112 (27)Pass EPA / play+0.070 (15)
-0.148 (27)Rush EPA / play-0.130 (26)
18.4 (29)Points / game21.8 (21)
22.4 (14)Points allowed / game21.2 (9)
58.5%Pass rate55.7%
63.6%Red zone TD %70.0%
23.1%4th down go %11.4%
EaglesGiants
Likely final margins. Each team's shaded area is its win probability and the marker is our line. Four times in five the real margin lands between Eagles by 14 and Giants by 20. The peak is where we lean, not a forecast of the score.