PHI @ NYG – Week 18 2026
PHI
NYG
PHI
AWAY
OUR PICK
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 18 · 2026 SEASON
NYG
HOME
Model confidence: PHI 69%Projected margin: -4.3
PHI
PICK SIDE
—
SPREAD
-4.3
PROJ MARGIN
—
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
+0.105Net EPA / play-0.075
+0.026Offense EPA / play+0.012
-0.079Defense EPA / play+0.087
43.1%Offense success %42.1%
41.7%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
GAME NARRATIVE
Early forecast: PHI at 69%, backed by epa edge.
EPA EDGE
PHI generates 0.026 EPA/play on offense. NYG's defense allows 0.087. That's a top-tier efficiency gap.
TEMPO
PHI runs no-huddle on 19% of plays -- a fast tempo that can exploit defensive fatigue.
H2H EDGE
PHI has won 3 of the last 5 meetings against NYG.
Multiple signals align in PHI's favor. One of the cleaner setups on the slate.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | — | PHI market line | |
| MONEYLINE | Moneyline not recorded for this game | ||
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
PHI
J.Hurts
QB
301.1SEASON PPR
S.Barkley
RB
232.3SEASON PPR
A.Brown
WR
220.3SEASON PPR
NYG
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Philadelphia EaglesPASSING
J.Hurts3224 yd · 25 TD · 6 INT
RUSHING
S.Barkley1140 yd · 7 TD
J.Hurts421 yd · 8 TD
T.Bigsby344 yd · 2 TD
RECEIVING
D.Smith77 rec · 1008 yd · 4 TD
A.Brown78 rec · 1003 yd · 7 TD
D.Goedert60 rec · 591 yd · 11 TD
S.Barkley37 rec · 273 yd · 2 TD
VS
3,224PASSyds2,272
1,905RUSHyds
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYG@PHIW9 2026 | — | PHI | — |
| NYG@PHIW8 2025 | NYG 20, PHI 38 | PHI | W |
| PHI@NYGW6 2025 | PHI 17, NYG 34 | PHI | L |
| NYG@PHIW18 2024 | NYG 13, PHI 20 | PHI | W |
| PHI@NYGW7 2024 | PHI 28, NYG 3 | PHI | W |
COMMON QUESTIONSPHI vs NYG
Who is favored in Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants?
Our model takes Philadelphia Eagles at 69% win probability. The margin models project PHI by 4.3. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
When do the Philadelphia Eagles and New York Giants play?
Week 18 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Who won the last Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants game?
Philadelphia Eagles, 20-38 in Week 8 of 2025.
Which team has been better, the Philadelphia Eagles or the New York Giants?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Philadelphia Eagles: PHI +0.105 against NYG -0.075.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
