DET @ GB – Week 18 2026
DET
GB
DET
AWAY
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 18 · 2026 SEASON
GB
HOME
OUR PICK
Model confidence: GB 59%Projected margin: -0.9
GB
PICK SIDE
—
SPREAD
-0.9
PROJ MARGIN
—
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
+0.091Net EPA / play+0.082
+0.081Offense EPA / play+0.115
-0.010Defense EPA / play+0.033
45.2%Offense success %47.7%
41.7%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
WHY THIS PICK
GB is our early forecast in DET @ GB (Week 18, 2026). The model assigns 58.7% confidence and projects GB by 0.9. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so the model re-runs this forecast every Wednesday as the season plays out.
MODEL CONVICTION
Split. The model leans this way with less conviction.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | — | GB market line | |
| MONEYLINE | Moneyline not recorded for this game | ||
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
DET
J.Gibbs
RB
366.9SEASON PPR
A.St. Brown
WR
324.0SEASON PPR
J.Goff
QB
297.1SEASON PPR
GB
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Detroit LionsPASSING
J.Goff4564 yd · 34 TD · 8 INT
RUSHING
J.Gibbs1223 yd · 13 TD
D.Montgomery716 yd · 8 TD
J.Goff45 yd · 0 TD
RECEIVING
A.St. Brown117 rec · 1401 yd · 11 TD
J.Williams65 rec · 1117 yd · 7 TD
J.Gibbs77 rec · 616 yd · 5 TD
S.LaPorta40 rec · 489 yd · 3 TD
VS
4,564PASSyds3,381
1,984RUSHyds
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| GB@DETW7 2026 | — | DET | — |
| GB@DETW13 2025 | GB 31, DET 24 | DET | L |
| DET@GBW1 2025 | DET 13, GB 27 | DET | L |
| GB@DETW14 2024 | GB 31, DET 34 | DET | W |
| DET@GBW9 2024 | DET 24, GB 14 | GB | L |
COMMON QUESTIONSDET vs GB
Who is favored in Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers?
Our model takes Green Bay Packers at 59% win probability. The margin models project GB by 0.9. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
When do the Detroit Lions and Green Bay Packers play?
Week 18 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Who won the last Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers game?
Green Bay Packers, 31-24 in Week 13 of 2025.
Which team has been better, the Detroit Lions or the Green Bay Packers?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Detroit Lions: DET +0.091 against GB +0.082.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
