Lions vs Packers – Week 18 2026
DET
GB
DET
AWAY
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 18 · 2026 SEASON
Lambeau Field · Green Bay, WI
GB
HOME
OUR PICK
THE SHORT ANSWER
Our model favors the Packers over the Lions at 60% win probability. No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Model confidence: GB 60%Our line: GB -3.3
80% range around our line: DET by 14 to GB by 21. Four games in five land inside it.
Betting the GB game? Pro shows whether we flag it as a bet, at what price, and your stake at your unit size →
ODDS
SPREAD
GB —
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
GB -3.3
OUR LINE
MONEYLINE
GB · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
60%
GB · MARKET WIN PROBABILITY
55%
PREGAME SNAPSHOTWEEK 18 · WHAT MATTERS AT KICKOFF
TEAM COMPARISON2026 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES
+0.029Net EPA / play+0.018
+0.180 (3)Offense EPA / play-0.021 (18)
+0.152 (31)Defense EPA / play-0.039 (11)
49.1% (4)Offense success %40.7% (24)
PROJECTED MARGINHOW THE FINAL SCORE COULD LAND
WHY THIS PICK
GB is our early forecast in DET @ GB (Week 18, 2026). The model assigns 60% confidence and projects GB by 3.3. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so the model re-runs this forecast every Wednesday as the season plays out.
MODEL AGREEMENT
All three models picked this side. The tier above is a separate read: it reflects how big a margin they project, not how many agreed.
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2026 SEASON
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2026 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| GB@DETW13 2025 | GB 31, DET 24 | DET | L |
| DET@GBW1 2025 | DET 13, GB 27 | DET | L |
| GB@DETW14 2024 | GB 31, DET 34 | DET | W |
| DET@GBW9 2024 | DET 24, GB 14 | GB | L |
| GB@DETW12 2023 | GB 29, DET 22 | DET | L |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 18 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSDET vs GB
Our model takes Green Bay Packers at 60% win probability. The margin models project GB by 3.3. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
Our model favors Green Bay Packers at 60% win probability.
No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
NoPunt's model projects 46.0 combined points. No sportsbook total has been posted for this game yet.
Week 18 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Green Bay Packers, GB 31, DET 24 in Week 13 of 2025.
By net EPA per play over the 2026 season, Detroit Lions: DET +0.029 against GB +0.018.
