JAX @ IND – Week 18 2026
JAX
IND
JAX
AWAY
OUR PICK
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 18 · 2026 SEASON
IND
HOME
Model confidence: JAX 69%Projected margin: -4.7
JAX
PICK SIDE
—
SPREAD
-4.7
PROJ MARGIN
—
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
+0.136Net EPA / play+0.068
+0.030Offense EPA / play+0.072
-0.105Defense EPA / play+0.004
44.4%Offense success %46.3%
41.3%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
WHY THIS PICK
JAX is our early forecast in JAX @ IND (Week 18, 2026). The model assigns 69.4% confidence and projects JAX by 4.7. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so the model re-runs this forecast every Wednesday as the season plays out.
MODEL CONVICTION
High. The model is fully behind this side.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | — | JAX market line | |
| MONEYLINE | Moneyline not recorded for this game | ||
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
JAX
T.Lawrence
QB
338.2SEASON PPR
T.Etienne
RB
253.9SEASON PPR
P.Washington
WR
184.7SEASON PPR
IND
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Jacksonville JaguarsPASSING
T.Lawrence4007 yd · 29 TD · 12 INT
RUSHING
T.Etienne1107 yd · 7 TD
T.Lawrence359 yd · 9 TD
B.Tuten307 yd · 5 TD
RECEIVING
P.Washington58 rec · 847 yd · 5 TD
B.Thomas48 rec · 707 yd · 2 TD
B.Strange46 rec · 540 yd · 3 TD
J.Meyers42 rec · 483 yd · 3 TD
VS
4,007PASSyds3,101
1,773RUSHyds
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| IND@JAXW8 2026 | — | JAX | — |
| JAX@INDW17 2025 | JAX 23, IND 17 | JAX | W |
| IND@JAXW14 2025 | IND 19, JAX 36 | JAX | W |
| JAX@INDW18 2024 | JAX 23, IND 26 | IND | W |
| IND@JAXW5 2024 | IND 34, JAX 37 | IND | L |
COMMON QUESTIONSJAX vs IND
Who is favored in Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts?
Our model takes Jacksonville Jaguars at 69% win probability. The margin models project JAX by 4.7. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
When do the Jacksonville Jaguars and Indianapolis Colts play?
Week 18 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Who won the last Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts game?
Jacksonville Jaguars, 23-17 in Week 17 of 2025.
Which team has been better, the Jacksonville Jaguars or the Indianapolis Colts?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Jacksonville Jaguars: JAX +0.136 against IND +0.068.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
