PIT @ BAL – Week 18 2026
PIT
BAL
PIT
AWAY
OUR PICK
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 18 · 2026 SEASON
BAL
HOME
Model confidence: PIT 58%Projected margin: +0.8
PIT
PICK SIDE
—
SPREAD
+0.8
PROJ MARGIN
—
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
+0.007Net EPA / play+0.010
+0.025Offense EPA / play+0.034
+0.018Defense EPA / play+0.024
44.0%Offense success %44.6%
43.3%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
WHY THIS PICK
PIT is our early forecast in PIT @ BAL (Week 18, 2026). The model assigns 57.7% confidence and projects BAL by 0.8. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so the model re-runs this forecast every Wednesday as the season plays out.
MODEL CONVICTION
Split. The model leans this way with less conviction.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | — | PIT market line | |
| MONEYLINE | Moneyline not recorded for this game | ||
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
PIT
A.Rodgers
QB
227.1SEASON PPR
K.Gainwell
RB
221.3SEASON PPR
J.Warren
RB
217.1SEASON PPR
BAL
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Pittsburgh SteelersPASSING
A.Rodgers3322 yd · 24 TD · 7 INT
RUSHING
J.Warren958 yd · 6 TD
K.Gainwell537 yd · 5 TD
K.Johnson69 yd · 0 TD
RECEIVING
D.Metcalf59 rec · 850 yd · 6 TD
K.Gainwell73 rec · 486 yd · 3 TD
P.Freiermuth41 rec · 486 yd · 4 TD
C.Austin31 rec · 372 yd · 3 TD
VS
3,322PASSyds2,549
1,564RUSHyds
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| BAL@PITW15 2026 | — | PIT | — |
| BAL@PITW18 2025 | BAL 24, PIT 26 | PIT | W |
| PIT@BALW14 2025 | PIT 27, BAL 22 | BAL | L |
| PIT@BALW16 2024 | PIT 17, BAL 34 | BAL | W |
| BAL@PITW11 2024 | BAL 16, PIT 18 | BAL | L |
COMMON QUESTIONSPIT vs BAL
Who is favored in Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens?
Our model takes Pittsburgh Steelers at 58% win probability. The margin models project BAL by 0.8. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
When do the Pittsburgh Steelers and Baltimore Ravens play?
Week 18 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Who won the last Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens game?
Pittsburgh Steelers, 24-26 in Week 18 of 2025.
Which team has been better, the Pittsburgh Steelers or the Baltimore Ravens?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Baltimore Ravens: PIT +0.007 against BAL +0.010.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
