DAL @ WAS – Week 18 2026
DAL
WAS
DAL
AWAY
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 18 · 2026 SEASON
WAS
HOME
OUR PICK
Model confidence: WAS 58%Projected margin: -0.7
WAS
PICK SIDE
—
SPREAD
-0.7
PROJ MARGIN
—
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
-0.070Net EPA / play-0.137
+0.097Offense EPA / play+0.005
+0.167Defense EPA / play+0.142
46.6%Offense success %45.6%
48.9%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
WHY THIS PICK
WAS is our early forecast in DAL @ WAS (Week 18, 2026). The model assigns 58.4% confidence and projects WAS by 0.7. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so the model re-runs this forecast every Wednesday as the season plays out.
MODEL CONVICTION
Split. The model leans this way with less conviction.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | — | WAS market line | |
| MONEYLINE | Moneyline not recorded for this game | ||
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
DAL
D.Prescott
QB
313.8SEASON PPR
G.Pickens
WR
291.9SEASON PPR
J.Williams
RB
242.8SEASON PPR
WAS
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Dallas CowboysPASSING
D.Prescott4552 yd · 30 TD · 10 INT
RUSHING
J.Williams1201 yd · 11 TD
M.Davis250 yd · 2 TD
D.Prescott177 yd · 2 TD
RECEIVING
G.Pickens93 rec · 1429 yd · 9 TD
C.Lamb75 rec · 1077 yd · 3 TD
J.Ferguson82 rec · 600 yd · 8 TD
R.Flournoy40 rec · 475 yd · 4 TD
VS
4,552PASSyds1,695
1,628RUSH
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| WAS@DALW2 2026 | — | DAL | — |
| DAL@WASW17 2025 | DAL 30, WAS 23 | DAL | W |
| WAS@DALW7 2025 | WAS 22, DAL 44 | DAL | W |
| WAS@DALW18 2024 | WAS 23, DAL 19 | DAL | L |
| DAL@WASW12 2024 | DAL 34, WAS 26 | WAS | L |
COMMON QUESTIONSDAL vs WAS
Who is favored in Dallas Cowboys at Washington Commanders?
Our model takes Washington Commanders at 58% win probability. The margin models project WAS by 0.7. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
When do the Dallas Cowboys and Washington Commanders play?
Week 18 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Who won the last Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders game?
Dallas Cowboys, 30-23 in Week 17 of 2025.
Which team has been better, the Dallas Cowboys or the Washington Commanders?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Dallas Cowboys: DAL -0.070 against WAS -0.137.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
