2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
TEN @ MIN – Week 3 2020
TEN
MIN
TEN
AWAY
31@30
TEN +1
FINAL · WEEK 3
2020 SEASON
MIN
HOME
TIER B
PICK: TEN
PICK WONATS ✗
Model confidence: TEN 56%Projected margin: -4.0
TEN
PICK SIDE
-3.0
SPREAD
-4.0
PROJ MARGIN
-154
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
TEN B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected TEN by 4.0. Actual: 1 points. The model was within 3.0 points of the real margin.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 5 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 2.0 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -3.0 | TEN market line | |
| MODEL ML | -154 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -155 | Won · +$0.65 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
TEN
Road Favorite 1-4 ATS (20%)
MIN
No noteworthy trends
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
TEN
Ryan Tannehill
QB
344.4SEASON PPR
Derrick Henry
RB
333.1SEASON PPR
A.J. Brown
WR
247.5SEASON PPR
MIN
Dalvin Cook
RB
337.8SEASON PPR
Kirk Cousins
QB
306.2SEASON PPR
Justin Jefferson
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 3
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIN@TENW11 2024 | MIN 23, TEN 13 | MIN | W |
WEEK 3 · OTHER GAMES