Bengals vs Eagles – Week 3 2020
CIN
PHI
CIN
AWAY
23@23
FINAL · WEEK 3
2020 SEASON
Lincoln Financial Field · Philadelphia, PA
PHI
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Final: Cincinnati Bengals and Philadelphia Eagles tied, 23-23.
Going in, our model had favored Philadelphia Eagles at 60% win probability, and the pick pushed.
Out or doubtful: 1 Bengals, 3 Eagles.
Model confidence: PHI 60%Our line: PHI -3.3
ODDS
SPREAD
PHI -5.5
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
PHI -3.3
OUR LINE
MISSED
VS SPREAD
MONEYLINE
PHI · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
60%
TEAM COMPARISON2020 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 3
-0.141Net EPA / play-0.107
-0.049 (26)Offense EPA / play-0.089 (30)
+0.092 (26)Defense EPA / play+0.018 (13)
43.6% (23)Offense success %40.6% (30)
GAME NARRATIVE
PHI B-tier pick ends in a tie, a push, not a loss.
PUSH
The game ended in a tie, 23-23. Neither side took it. The pick is graded a push, not a loss.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 5 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 5.5 points.
This one ended in a tie, a push. Ties sit out of the win rate; they are not counted as losses.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
Historical splits, shown for context only. We tested them: picking the situations that beat break-even in training goes 770–760 (50.3%) out of sample, so they are not a betting signal and are not coloured like one.
CIN
No noteworthy trends
PHI
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
76°F
WIND
5 MPH
IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
PHI
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2020 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
INJURY REPORTWEEK 3
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETING
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHI@CINW8 2024 | PHI 37, CIN 17 | CIN | L |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 3 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSCIN vs PHI
Our model takes Philadelphia Eagles at 60% win probability, a Tier B pick. The margin models project PHI by 3.3. The market has PHI at -5.5.
Cincinnati Bengals and Philadelphia Eagles tied, CIN 23, PHI 23. Going in, our model favored Philadelphia Eagles at 60% win probability.
The market has Philadelphia Eagles at -5.5, meaning the book expects Philadelphia Eagles to win by 5.5 points.
In Week 3, the Cincinnati Bengals were without 1 player (Out or Doubtful) and the Philadelphia Eagles were without 3 players (Out or Doubtful).
Sportsbooks have this game at 46.5 combined points. NoPunt's model projects 46.6, 0.1 above the market.
Week 3 of the 2020 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Philadelphia Eagles, PHI 37, CIN 17 in Week 8 of 2024.
By net EPA per play over the 2020 season, Philadelphia Eagles: CIN -0.141 against PHI -0.107.
