CIN @ PHI – Week 3 2020

PHI B-tier pick misses. CIN takes it.

Model picked PHI but CIN won. Projected margin was 4.9 -- the model overestimated by 4.9 points.

The win probability swung past 50% 5 times. One of the wildest games of the week.

Missed the spread by 5.5 points.

Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.