MIN @ DEN – Week 11 2023

MIN B-tier pick misses. DEN takes it.

Model picked MIN but DEN won. Projected margin was 3.8 -- the model overestimated by 4.8 points.

The win probability swung past 50% 4 times. One of the wildest games of the week.

This pick covered the spread by 1.5 points.

Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.