PIT @ CLE – Week 11 2023

PIT C-tier pick misses. CLE takes it.

Model picked PIT but CLE won. Projected margin was 0.2 -- the model overestimated by 2.8 points.

The win probability swung past 50% 6 times. One of the wildest games of the week.

Missed the spread by just 0.5 points -- a bad-beat loss.

Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.