2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
LAC @ GB – Week 11 2023
LAC
GB
LAC
AWAY
20@23
GB +3
FINAL · WEEK 11
2023 SEASON
GB
HOME
TIER B
PICK: LAC
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: LAC 57%Projected margin: 0.1
LAC
PICK SIDE
-3.0
SPREAD
0.1
PROJ MARGIN
-154
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
LAC B-tier pick misses. GB takes it.
MISSED
Model picked LAC but GB won. Projected margin was 0.1 -- the model overestimated by 2.9 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 16 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 6.0 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -3.0 | LAC market line | |
| MODEL ML | -154 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -162 | Lost · -$1.00 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
LAC
Divisional 0-5 ATS (0%)
GB
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Home Underdog 3-2 ATS (60%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
45°F
WIND
5 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2023 SEASON
LAC
Keenan Allen
WR
278.9SEASON PPR
Justin Herbert
QB
234.2SEASON PPR
Austin Ekeler
RB
185.4SEASON PPR
GB
Jordan Love
QB
319.1SEASON PPR
Jayden Reed
WR
217.2SEASON PPR
Romeo Doubs
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 11
WEEK 11 · OTHER GAMES