NFL WEEK 16 2026 PREDICTIONS & PICKS
16 GAMESUPDATED SEP 24, 2026
THE SHORT ANSWER
Our most confident Week 16 pick is the New England Patriots over the New York Jets, at 76% win probability.
No game on the Week 16 slate is a coin flip; every pick clears 55% win probability.
For survivor pools, the safest pick of the week is the New England Patriots over the New York Jets, at 76% win probability.
PROEvery pick's read, side, tier, win probability, spread, is free. The Edge (the games we flag as bets) and Kelly sizing are Pro.
EARLY FORECAST · no betting lines are posted for this week yet. These are model projections, not graded picks, and they regenerate every Wednesday.
FILTER
QUESTIONS
Our safest Week 16 2026 pick is the New England Patriots over the New York Jets, at 76% win probability.
No game in Week 16 2026 is a coin flip on our model; every pick clears 55% win probability.
NoPunt's model picks every game of Week 16, 2026, tier-graded from S (strongest) to C, with a win probability, predicted margin and spread for each. See the full slate on this page.
For survivor pools, our model's safest Week 16 pick is the New England Patriots over the New York Jets, at 76% win probability.