Bengals vs Colts – Week 16 2026
CIN
IND
CIN
AWAY
OUR PICK
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 16 · 2026 SEASON
Lucas Oil Stadium · Indianapolis, IN
IND
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Our model favors the Bengals over the Colts at 60% win probability. No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Model confidence: CIN 60%Our line: CIN -3.4
80% range around our line: IND by 14 to CIN by 21. Four games in five land inside it.
Betting the CIN game? Pro shows whether we flag it as a bet, at what price, and your stake at your unit size →
ODDS
SPREAD
CIN —
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
CIN -3.4
OUR LINE
MONEYLINE
CIN · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
60%
CIN · MARKET WIN PROBABILITY
53%
DIFFERENCE
+7%
| SPORTSBOOK | CIN | IND | CIN WIN % |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -122 | +102 |
PREGAME SNAPSHOTWEEK 16 · WHAT MATTERS AT KICKOFF
TEAM COMPARISON2026 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES
+0.102Net EPA / play-0.150
+0.072 (10)Offense EPA / play-0.051 (22)
-0.030 (13)Defense EPA / play+0.099 (27)
47.1% (8)Offense success %42.2% (19)
PROJECTED MARGINHOW THE FINAL SCORE COULD LAND
GAME NARRATIVE
Early forecast: CIN at 60%, backed by epa edge.
EPA EDGE
CIN generates 0.072 EPA/play on offense. IND's defense allows 0.099. That's a top-tier efficiency gap.
DRIVE EFF
CIN scores 1.9 points per drive vs 1.4 for IND. That's a substantial offensive rhythm gap.
Net-positive signal profile for CIN. This forecast updates every Wednesday as the season plays out.
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2026 SEASON
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2026 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| IND@CINW14 2023 | IND 14, CIN 34 | CIN | W |
| CIN@INDW6 2020 | CIN 27, IND 31 | IND | W |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 16 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSCIN vs IND
Our model takes Cincinnati Bengals at 60% win probability. The margin models project CIN by 3.4. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
Our model favors Cincinnati Bengals at 60% win probability.
No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Week 16 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Cincinnati Bengals, IND 14, CIN 34 in Week 14 of 2023.
By net EPA per play over the 2026 season, Cincinnati Bengals: CIN +0.102 against IND -0.150.
