TEN @ LV – Week 16 2026
TEN
LV
TEN
AWAY
@
SUN 4:05 PM
WEEK 16 · 2026 SEASON
LV
HOME
OUR PICK
Model confidence: LV 58%Projected margin: -0.4
LV
PICK SIDE
—
SPREAD
-0.4
PROJ MARGIN
—
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
-0.260Net EPA / play-0.240
-0.160Offense EPA / play-0.215
+0.100Defense EPA / play+0.024
37.4%Offense success %37.6%
45.1%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
WHY THIS PICK
LV is our early forecast in TEN @ LV (Week 16, 2026). The model assigns 57.8% confidence and projects LV by 0.4. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so the model re-runs this forecast every Wednesday as the season plays out.
MODEL CONVICTION
Split. The model leans this way with less conviction.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | — | LV market line | |
| MONEYLINE | Moneyline not recorded for this game | ||
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
TEN
C.Ward
QB
186.7SEASON PPR
T.Pollard
RB
185.8SEASON PPR
C.Dike
WR
128.1SEASON PPR
LV
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Tennessee TitansPASSING
C.Ward3169 yd · 15 TD · 7 INT
RUSHING
T.Pollard1082 yd · 5 TD
T.Spears283 yd · 2 TD
C.Ward159 yd · 2 TD
RECEIVING
C.Okonkwo56 rec · 560 yd · 2 TD
E.Ayomanor41 rec · 515 yd · 4 TD
C.Dike48 rec · 423 yd · 4 TD
G.Helm44 rec · 357 yd · 2 TD
VS
3,169PASSyds3,025
1,524RUSHyds
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| TEN@LVW6 2025 | TEN 10, LV 20 | LV | W |
| LV@TENW3 2022 | LV 22, TEN 24 | TEN | W |
COMMON QUESTIONSTEN vs LV
Who is favored in Tennessee Titans at Las Vegas Raiders?
Our model takes Las Vegas Raiders at 58% win probability. The margin models project LV by 0.4. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
When do the Tennessee Titans and Las Vegas Raiders play?
Week 16 of the 2026 season, SUN 4:05 PM.
Who won the last Tennessee Titans vs Las Vegas Raiders game?
Las Vegas Raiders, 10-20 in Week 6 of 2025.
Which team has been better, the Tennessee Titans or the Las Vegas Raiders?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Las Vegas Raiders: TEN -0.260 against LV -0.240.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
