Titans vs Raiders – Week 16 2026
TEN
LV
TEN
AWAY
@
SUN 4:05 PM
WEEK 16 · 2026 SEASON
Allegiant Stadium · Las Vegas, NV
LV
HOME
OUR PICK
THE SHORT ANSWER
Our model favors the Raiders over the Titans at 67% win probability. No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Model confidence: LV 67%Our line: LV -6.1
80% range around our line: TEN by 11 to LV by 23. Four games in five land inside it.
Betting the LV game? Pro shows whether we flag it as a bet, at what price, and your stake at your unit size →
ODDS
SPREAD
LV —
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
LV -6.1
OUR LINE
MONEYLINE
LV · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
67%
LV · MARKET WIN PROBABILITY
53%
DIFFERENCE
+14%
| SPORTSBOOK | TEN | LV | LV WIN % |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +102 | -122 | 52.7% |
PREGAME SNAPSHOTWEEK 16 · WHAT MATTERS AT KICKOFF
TEAM COMPARISON2026 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES
-0.228Net EPA / play-0.001
-0.149 (31)Offense EPA / play+0.004 (14)
+0.078 (25)Defense EPA / play+0.005 (19)
40.5% (25)Offense success %42.6% (17)
PROJECTED MARGINHOW THE FINAL SCORE COULD LAND
GAME NARRATIVE
Early forecast: LV at 67%, backed by epa edge.
EPA EDGE
LV generates 0.004 EPA/play on offense. TEN's defense allows 0.078. That's a top-tier efficiency gap.
RED ZONE
LV converts 64% in the red zone vs 45% for TEN. That efficiency gap matters in close games.
DRIVE EFF
LV scores 1.8 points per drive vs 0.9 for TEN. That's a substantial offensive rhythm gap.
Multiple signals align in LV's favor. One of the cleaner setups on the slate.
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2026 SEASON
LV
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2026 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| TEN@LVW6 2025 | TEN 10, LV 20 | LV | W |
| LV@TENW3 2022 | LV 22, TEN 24 | TEN | W |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 16 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSTEN vs LV
Our model takes Las Vegas Raiders at 67% win probability. The margin models project LV by 6.1. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
Our model favors Las Vegas Raiders at 67% win probability.
No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Week 16 of the 2026 season, SUN 4:05 PM.
Las Vegas Raiders, TEN 10, LV 20 in Week 6 of 2025.
By net EPA per play over the 2026 season, Las Vegas Raiders: TEN -0.228 against LV -0.001.
