Texans vs Eagles – Week 16 2026
HOU
PHI
HOU
AWAY
OUR PICK
@
THU 8:15 PM
WEEK 16 · 2026 SEASON
Lincoln Financial Field · Philadelphia, PA
PHI
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Our model favors the Texans over the Eagles at 58% win probability. No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Model confidence: HOU 58%Our line: HOU -2.6
80% range around our line: PHI by 15 to HOU by 20. Four games in five land inside it.
Betting the HOU game? Pro shows whether we flag it as a bet, at what price, and your stake at your unit size →
ODDS
SPREAD
HOU —
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
HOU -2.6
OUR LINE
MONEYLINE
HOU · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
58%
HOU · MARKET WIN PROBABILITY
45%
DIFFERENCE
+13%
| SPORTSBOOK | HOU | PHI | HOU WIN % |
|---|---|---|---|
| ESPN BET | +110 | -130 |
PREGAME SNAPSHOTWEEK 16 · WHAT MATTERS AT KICKOFF
TEAM COMPARISON2026 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES
+0.048Net EPA / play-0.196
+0.005 (13)Offense EPA / play-0.127 (30)
-0.043 (9)Defense EPA / play+0.069 (24)
42.4% (18)Offense success %36.2% (31)
PROJECTED MARGINHOW THE FINAL SCORE COULD LAND
WHY THIS PICK
HOU is our early forecast in HOU @ PHI (Week 16, 2026). The model assigns 58% confidence and projects HOU by 2.6. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so the model re-runs this forecast every Wednesday as the season plays out.
MODEL AGREEMENT
The three models split on this game. The majority side is what we publish, and it carries less weight than a unanimous one.
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2026 SEASON
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2026 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETING
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHI@HOUW9 2022 | PHI 29, HOU 17 | PHI | W |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 16 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSHOU vs PHI
Our model takes Houston Texans at 58% win probability. The margin models project HOU by 2.6. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
Our model favors Houston Texans at 58% win probability.
No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Week 16 of the 2026 season, THU 8:15 PM.
Philadelphia Eagles, PHI 29, HOU 17 in Week 9 of 2022.
By net EPA per play over the 2026 season, Houston Texans: HOU +0.048 against PHI -0.196.
