CAR @ PIT – Week 16 2026
CAR
PIT
CAR
AWAY
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 16 · 2026 SEASON
PIT
HOME
OUR PICK
Model confidence: PIT 70%Projected margin: -5.1
PIT
PICK SIDE
—
SPREAD
-5.1
PROJ MARGIN
—
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
-0.107Net EPA / play+0.007
-0.039Offense EPA / play+0.025
+0.067Defense EPA / play+0.018
43.1%Offense success %44.0%
44.3%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
WHY THIS PICK
PIT is our early forecast in CAR @ PIT (Week 16, 2026). The model assigns 69.9% confidence and projects PIT by 5.1. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so the model re-runs this forecast every Wednesday as the season plays out.
MODEL CONVICTION
High. The model is fully behind this side.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | — | PIT market line | |
| MONEYLINE | Moneyline not recorded for this game | ||
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
CAR
B.Young
QB
218.0SEASON PPR
R.Dowdle
RB
216.3SEASON PPR
T.McMillan
WR
213.4SEASON PPR
PIT
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Carolina PanthersPASSING
B.Young3011 yd · 23 TD · 11 INT
RUSHING
R.Dowdle1076 yd · 6 TD
C.Hubbard511 yd · 1 TD
B.Young216 yd · 2 TD
RECEIVING
T.McMillan70 rec · 1014 yd · 7 TD
J.Coker33 rec · 394 yd · 3 TD
X.Legette35 rec · 363 yd · 3 TD
R.Dowdle39 rec · 297 yd · 1 TD
VS
3,011PASSyds3,322
1,803RUSHyds
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| PIT@CARW15 2022 | PIT 24, CAR 16 | CAR | L |
COMMON QUESTIONSCAR vs PIT
Who is favored in Carolina Panthers at Pittsburgh Steelers?
Our model takes Pittsburgh Steelers at 70% win probability. The margin models project PIT by 5.1. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
When do the Carolina Panthers and Pittsburgh Steelers play?
Week 16 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Who won the last Carolina Panthers vs Pittsburgh Steelers game?
Pittsburgh Steelers, 24-16 in Week 15 of 2022.
Which team has been better, the Carolina Panthers or the Pittsburgh Steelers?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Pittsburgh Steelers: CAR -0.107 against PIT +0.007.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
