ARI @ NO – Week 16 2026
ARI
NO
ARI
AWAY
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 16 · 2026 SEASON
NO
HOME
OUR PICK
Model confidence: NO 74%Projected margin: -7.3
NO
PICK SIDE
—
SPREAD
-7.3
PROJ MARGIN
—
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
-0.107Net EPA / play-0.029
-0.018Offense EPA / play-0.088
+0.088Defense EPA / play-0.059
43.0%Offense success %42.0%
48.5%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
GAME NARRATIVE
Early forecast: model favors NO at 74%.
AGGRESSIVE 4TH
NO goes for it on 4th down 26% of the time -- among the most aggressive in the NFL.
BLOWOUT PROJ
Model projects a 7.3-point margin.
Net-positive signal profile for NO. This forecast updates every Wednesday as the season plays out.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | — | NO market line | |
| MONEYLINE | Moneyline not recorded for this game | ||
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
ARI
T.McBride
TE
315.9SEASON PPR
J.Brissett
QB
227.4SEASON PPR
Mi.Wilson
WR
220.6SEASON PPR
NO
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Arizona CardinalsPASSING
J.Brissett3366 yd · 23 TD · 8 INT
RUSHING
M.Carter333 yd · 1 TD
E.Demercado312 yd · 0 TD
Z.Knight269 yd · 4 TD
RECEIVING
T.McBride126 rec · 1239 yd · 11 TD
Mi.Wilson78 rec · 1006 yd · 7 TD
M.Harrison41 rec · 608 yd · 4 TD
E.Higgins30 rec · 301 yd · 0 TD
VS
3,366PASSyds2,384
914RUSH
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARI@NOW1 2025 | ARI 20, NO 13 | ARI | W |
| NO@ARIW7 2022 | NO 34, ARI 42 | NO | L |
COMMON QUESTIONSARI vs NO
Who is favored in Arizona Cardinals at New Orleans Saints?
Our model takes New Orleans Saints at 74% win probability. The margin models project NO by 7.3. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
When do the Arizona Cardinals and New Orleans Saints play?
Week 16 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Who won the last Arizona Cardinals vs New Orleans Saints game?
Arizona Cardinals, 20-13 in Week 1 of 2025.
Which team has been better, the Arizona Cardinals or the New Orleans Saints?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, New Orleans Saints: ARI -0.107 against NO -0.029.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
