Cardinals vs Saints – Week 16 2026
ARI
NO
ARI
AWAY
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 16 · 2026 SEASON
Caesars Superdome · New Orleans, LA
NO
HOME
OUR PICK
THE SHORT ANSWER
Our model favors the Saints over the Cardinals at 68% win probability. No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Model confidence: NO 68%Our line: NO -6.3
80% range around our line: ARI by 11 to NO by 24. Four games in five land inside it.
Betting the NO game? Pro shows whether we flag it as a bet, at what price, and your stake at your unit size →
ODDS
SPREAD
NO —
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
NO -6.3
OUR LINE
MONEYLINE
NO · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
68%
NO · MARKET WIN PROBABILITY
69%
DIFFERENCE
-1%
| SPORTSBOOK | ARI | NO | NO WIN % |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +200 | -245 |
PREGAME SNAPSHOTWEEK 16 · WHAT MATTERS AT KICKOFF
TEAM COMPARISON2026 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES
-0.142Net EPA / play-0.148
-0.018 (16)Offense EPA / play-0.054 (23)
+0.124 (29)Defense EPA / play+0.094 (26)
45.9% (12)Offense success %43.1% (15)
PROJECTED MARGINHOW THE FINAL SCORE COULD LAND
WHY THIS PICK
NO is our early forecast in ARI @ NO (Week 16, 2026). The model assigns 68% confidence and projects NO by 6.3. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so the model re-runs this forecast every Wednesday as the season plays out.
MODEL AGREEMENT
All three models picked this side. The tier above is a separate read: it reflects how big a margin they project, not how many agreed.
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2026 SEASON
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2026 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARI@NOW1 2025 | ARI 20, NO 13 | ARI | W |
| NO@ARIW7 2022 | NO 34, ARI 42 | NO | L |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 16 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSARI vs NO
Our model takes New Orleans Saints at 68% win probability. The margin models project NO by 6.3. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
Our model favors New Orleans Saints at 68% win probability.
No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Week 16 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Arizona Cardinals, ARI 20, NO 13 in Week 1 of 2025.
By net EPA per play over the 2026 season, Arizona Cardinals: ARI -0.142 against NO -0.148.
