LA @ SEA – Week 16 2026
LA
SEA
LA
AWAY
@
FRI 8:15 PM
WEEK 16 · 2026 SEASON
SEA
HOME
OUR PICK
Model confidence: SEA 67%Projected margin: -4.1
SEA
PICK SIDE
+1.5
SPREAD
-4.1
PROJ MARGIN
+124
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
+0.206Net EPA / play+0.150
+0.145Offense EPA / play+0.033
-0.061Defense EPA / play-0.117
51.8%Offense success %46.3%
42.0%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
WHY THIS PICK
SEA is our B-tier play in LA @ SEA (Week 16, 2026). The model assigns 66.5% confidence and projects SEA by 4.1. Market spread sits at SEA +1.5.
MODEL CONVICTION
High. The model is fully behind this side.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | +1.5 | SEA market line | |
| MODEL ML | +124 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML |
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
LA
P.Nacua
WR
375.0SEASON PPR
M.Stafford
QB
350.4SEASON PPR
K.Williams
RB
263.3SEASON PPR
SEA
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Los Angeles RamsPASSING
M.Stafford4707 yd · 46 TD · 8 INT
RUSHING
K.Williams1252 yd · 10 TD
B.Corum746 yd · 6 TD
P.Nacua105 yd · 1 TD
RECEIVING
P.Nacua129 rec · 1715 yd · 10 TD
D.Adams60 rec · 789 yd · 14 TD
C.Parkinson43 rec · 408 yd · 8 TD
X.Smith18 rec · 303 yd · 0 TD
VS
4,707PASSyds4,048
2,103RUSHyds
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| SEA@LAW18 2026 | — | SEA | — |
| LA@SEAW16 2025 | LA 37, SEA 38 | LA | L |
| SEA@LAW11 2025 | SEA 19, LA 21 | LA | W |
| SEA@LAW18 2024 | SEA 30, LA 25 | LA | L |
| LA@SEAW9 2024 | LA 26, SEA 20 | LA | W |
COMMON QUESTIONSLA vs SEA
Who is favored in Los Angeles Rams at Seattle Seahawks?
Our model takes Seattle Seahawks at 67% win probability, a Tier B pick. The margin models project SEA by 4.1. The market has SEA at +1.5.
When do the Los Angeles Rams and Seattle Seahawks play?
Week 16 of the 2026 season, FRI 8:15 PM.
Who won the last Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks game?
Seattle Seahawks, 37-38 in Week 16 of 2025.
Which team has been better, the Los Angeles Rams or the Seattle Seahawks?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Los Angeles Rams: LA +0.206 against SEA +0.150.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
