CLE @ BAL – Week 16 2026
CLE
BAL
CLE
AWAY
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 16 · 2026 SEASON
BAL
HOME
OUR PICK
Model confidence: BAL 73%Projected margin: -6.4
BAL
PICK SIDE
—
SPREAD
-6.4
PROJ MARGIN
—
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
-0.094Net EPA / play+0.010
-0.190Offense EPA / play+0.034
-0.096Defense EPA / play+0.024
34.5%Offense success %44.6%
40.2%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
GAME NARRATIVE
Early forecast: BAL at 73%, backed by epa edge.
EPA EDGE
BAL generates 0.034 EPA/play on offense. CLE's defense allows -0.096. That's a top-tier efficiency gap.
H2H EDGE
BAL has won 3 of the last 5 meetings against CLE.
DRIVE EFF
BAL scores 1.9 points per drive vs 1.0 for CLE. That's a substantial offensive rhythm gap.
Multiple signals align in BAL's favor. One of the cleaner setups on the slate.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | — | BAL market line | |
| MONEYLINE | Moneyline not recorded for this game | ||
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
CLE
H.Fannin
TE
186.4SEASON PPR
Q.Judkins
RB
169.8SEASON PPR
J.Jeudy
WR
120.7SEASON PPR
BAL
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Cleveland BrownsPASSING
S.Sanders1400 yd · 7 TD · 10 INT
RUSHING
Q.Judkins827 yd · 7 TD
D.Sampson175 yd · 0 TD
S.Sanders169 yd · 1 TD
RECEIVING
H.Fannin72 rec · 731 yd · 6 TD
J.Jeudy50 rec · 602 yd · 2 TD
I.Bond18 rec · 338 yd · 0 TD
D.Njoku33 rec · 293 yd · 4 TD
VS
1,400PASSyds2,549
1,171RUSHyds
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| BAL@CLEW6 2026 | — | BAL | — |
| BAL@CLEW11 2025 | BAL 23, CLE 16 | BAL | W |
| CLE@BALW2 2025 | CLE 17, BAL 41 | BAL | W |
| CLE@BALW18 2024 | CLE 10, BAL 35 | BAL | W |
| BAL@CLEW8 2024 | BAL 24, CLE 29 | BAL | L |
COMMON QUESTIONSCLE vs BAL
Who is favored in Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens?
Our model takes Baltimore Ravens at 73% win probability. The margin models project BAL by 6.4. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
When do the Cleveland Browns and Baltimore Ravens play?
Week 16 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Who won the last Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens game?
Baltimore Ravens, 23-16 in Week 11 of 2025.
Which team has been better, the Cleveland Browns or the Baltimore Ravens?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Baltimore Ravens: CLE -0.094 against BAL +0.010.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
