Texans vs Steelers – Week 13 2026
HOU
PIT
HOU
AWAY
@
SUN 8:20 PM
WEEK 13 · 2026 SEASON
Acrisure Stadium · Pittsburgh, PA
PIT
HOME
OUR PICK
THE SHORT ANSWER
Our model favors the Steelers over the Texans at 62% win probability. No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Model confidence: PIT 62%Our line: PIT -4.2
80% range around our line: HOU by 13 to PIT by 21. Four games in five land inside it.
Betting the PIT game? Pro shows whether we flag it as a bet, at what price, and your stake at your unit size →
ODDS
SPREAD
PIT —
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
PIT -4.2
OUR LINE
MONEYLINE
PIT · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
62%
PIT · MARKET WIN PROBABILITY
47%
DIFFERENCE
+15%
| SPORTSBOOK | HOU | PIT | PIT WIN % |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -122 |
PREGAME SNAPSHOTWEEK 13 · WHAT MATTERS AT KICKOFF
TEAM COMPARISON2026 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES
+0.048Net EPA / play-0.046
+0.005 (13)Offense EPA / play-0.046 (21)
-0.043 (9)Defense EPA / play+0.000 (18)
42.4% (18)Offense success %41.7% (21)
PROJECTED MARGINHOW THE FINAL SCORE COULD LAND
WHY THIS PICK
PIT is our early forecast in HOU @ PIT (Week 13, 2026). The model assigns 62% confidence and projects PIT by 4.2. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so the model re-runs this forecast every Wednesday as the season plays out.
MODEL AGREEMENT
All three models picked this side. The tier above is a separate read: it reflects how big a margin they project, not how many agreed.
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2026 SEASON
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2026 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| PIT@HOUW4 2023 | PIT 6, HOU 30 | PIT | L |
| HOU@PITW3 2020 | HOU 21, PIT 28 | PIT | W |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 13 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSHOU vs PIT
Our model takes Pittsburgh Steelers at 62% win probability. The margin models project PIT by 4.2. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
Our model favors Pittsburgh Steelers at 62% win probability.
No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Week 13 of the 2026 season, SUN 8:20 PM.
Houston Texans, PIT 6, HOU 30 in Week 4 of 2023.
By net EPA per play over the 2026 season, Houston Texans: HOU +0.048 against PIT -0.046.
