HOU @ PIT – Week 13 2026
HOU
PIT
HOU
AWAY
OUR PICK
@
SUN 8:20 PM
WEEK 13 · 2026 SEASON
PIT
HOME
Model confidence: HOU 62%Projected margin: -1.8
HOU
PICK SIDE
—
SPREAD
-1.8
PROJ MARGIN
—
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
+0.118Net EPA / play+0.007
-0.013Offense EPA / play+0.025
-0.131Defense EPA / play+0.018
41.3%Offense success %44.0%
38.3%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
WHY THIS PICK
HOU is our early forecast in HOU @ PIT (Week 13, 2026). The model assigns 62.4% confidence and projects HOU by 1.8. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so the model re-runs this forecast every Wednesday as the season plays out.
MODEL CONVICTION
High. The model is fully behind this side.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | — | HOU market line | |
| MONEYLINE | Moneyline not recorded for this game | ||
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
HOU
N.Collins
WR
226.2SEASON PPR
C.Stroud
QB
208.5SEASON PPR
D.Schultz
TE
177.7SEASON PPR
PIT
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Houston TexansPASSING
C.Stroud3041 yd · 19 TD · 8 INT
RUSHING
W.Marks703 yd · 2 TD
N.Chubb506 yd · 3 TD
C.Stroud209 yd · 1 TD
RECEIVING
N.Collins71 rec · 1117 yd · 6 TD
D.Schultz82 rec · 777 yd · 3 TD
J.Higgins41 rec · 525 yd · 6 TD
X.Hutchinson35 rec · 428 yd · 3 TD
VS
3,041PASSyds3,322
1,418RUSHyds
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| PIT@HOUW4 2023 | PIT 6, HOU 30 | PIT | L |
| HOU@PITW3 2020 | HOU 21, PIT 28 | PIT | W |
COMMON QUESTIONSHOU vs PIT
Who is favored in Houston Texans at Pittsburgh Steelers?
Our model takes Houston Texans at 62% win probability. The margin models project HOU by 1.8. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
When do the Houston Texans and Pittsburgh Steelers play?
Week 13 of the 2026 season, SUN 8:20 PM.
Who won the last Houston Texans vs Pittsburgh Steelers game?
Houston Texans, 6-30 in Week 4 of 2023.
Which team has been better, the Houston Texans or the Pittsburgh Steelers?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Houston Texans: HOU +0.118 against PIT +0.007.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
