KC @ LA – Week 13 2026
KC
LA
KC
AWAY
@
THU 8:15 PM
WEEK 13 · 2026 SEASON
LA
HOME
OUR PICK
Model confidence: LA 80%Projected margin: -10.0
LA
PICK SIDE
—
SPREAD
-10.0
PROJ MARGIN
—
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
+0.055Net EPA / play+0.206
+0.035Offense EPA / play+0.145
-0.020Defense EPA / play-0.061
44.5%Offense success %51.8%
43.6%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
GAME NARRATIVE
Early forecast: LA at 80%, backed by epa edge.
EPA EDGE
LA generates 0.145 EPA/play on offense. KC's defense allows -0.020. That's a top-tier efficiency gap.
AGGRESSIVE 4TH
LA goes for it on 4th down 29% of the time -- among the most aggressive in the NFL.
RED ZONE
LA converts 91% in the red zone vs 74% for KC. That efficiency gap matters in close games.
DRIVE EFF
LA scores 2.5 points per drive vs 1.6 for KC. That's a substantial offensive rhythm gap.
BLOWOUT PROJ
Model projects a 10.0-point margin.
Multiple signals align in LA's favor. One of the cleaner setups on the slate.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | — | LA market line | |
| MONEYLINE | Moneyline not recorded for this game | ||
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
KC
P.Mahomes
QB
285.7SEASON PPR
T.Kelce
TE
193.2SEASON PPR
R.Rice
WR
150.1SEASON PPR
LA
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Kansas City ChiefsPASSING
P.Mahomes3587 yd · 22 TD · 11 INT
RUSHING
K.Hunt611 yd · 8 TD
I.Pacheco462 yd · 1 TD
P.Mahomes422 yd · 5 TD
RECEIVING
T.Kelce76 rec · 851 yd · 5 TD
M.Brown49 rec · 587 yd · 5 TD
R.Rice53 rec · 571 yd · 5 TD
X.Worthy42 rec · 532 yd · 1 TD
VS
3,587PASSyds4,707
1,495RUSHyds
COMMON QUESTIONSKC vs LA
Who is favored in Kansas City Chiefs at Los Angeles Rams?
Our model takes Los Angeles Rams at 80% win probability. The margin models project LA by 10.0. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
When do the Kansas City Chiefs and Los Angeles Rams play?
Week 13 of the 2026 season, THU 8:15 PM.
Who won the last Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Rams game?
Kansas City Chiefs, 10-26 in Week 12 of 2022.
Which team has been better, the Kansas City Chiefs or the Los Angeles Rams?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Los Angeles Rams: KC +0.055 against LA +0.206.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
