WAS @ TEN – Week 13 2026
WAS
TEN
WAS
AWAY
OUR PICK
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 13 · 2026 SEASON
TEN
HOME
Model confidence: WAS 63%Projected margin: -1.9
WAS
PICK SIDE
—
SPREAD
-1.9
PROJ MARGIN
—
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
-0.137Net EPA / play-0.260
+0.005Offense EPA / play-0.160
+0.142Defense EPA / play+0.100
45.6%Offense success %37.4%
47.6%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
GAME NARRATIVE
Early forecast: WAS at 63%, backed by epa edge.
EPA EDGE
WAS generates 0.005 EPA/play on offense. TEN's defense allows 0.100. That's a top-tier efficiency gap.
TEMPO
WAS runs no-huddle on 62% of plays -- a fast tempo that can exploit defensive fatigue.
RED ZONE
WAS converts 85% in the red zone vs 68% for TEN. That efficiency gap matters in close games.
DRIVE EFF
WAS scores 1.7 points per drive vs 1.0 for TEN. That's a substantial offensive rhythm gap.
Multiple signals align in WAS's favor. One of the cleaner setups on the slate.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | — | WAS market line | |
| MONEYLINE | Moneyline not recorded for this game | ||
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
WAS
D.Samuel
WR
188.2SEASON PPR
J.Croskey-Merritt
RB
140.3SEASON PPR
Z.Ertz
TE
126.4SEASON PPR
TEN
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Washington CommandersPASSING
M.Mariota1695 yd · 10 TD · 7 INT
RUSHING
J.Croskey-Merritt805 yd · 8 TD
C.Rodriguez500 yd · 6 TD
M.Mariota297 yd · 1 TD
RECEIVING
D.Samuel72 rec · 727 yd · 5 TD
T.McLaurin38 rec · 582 yd · 3 TD
Z.Ertz50 rec · 504 yd · 4 TD
J.Lane16 rec · 225 yd · 0 TD
VS
1,695PASSyds3,169
1,602RUSH
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| TEN@WASW13 2024 | TEN 19, WAS 42 | WAS | W |
| TEN@WASW5 2022 | TEN 21, WAS 17 | TEN | W |
COMMON QUESTIONSWAS vs TEN
Who is favored in Washington Commanders at Tennessee Titans?
Our model takes Washington Commanders at 63% win probability. The margin models project WAS by 1.9. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
When do the Washington Commanders and Tennessee Titans play?
Week 13 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Who won the last Washington Commanders vs Tennessee Titans game?
Washington Commanders, 19-42 in Week 13 of 2024.
Which team has been better, the Washington Commanders or the Tennessee Titans?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Washington Commanders: WAS -0.137 against TEN -0.260.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
