PHI @ ARI – Week 13 2026
PHI
ARI
PHI
AWAY
OUR PICK
@
SUN 4:05 PM
WEEK 13 · 2026 SEASON
ARI
HOME
Model confidence: PHI 77%Projected margin: -8.2
PHI
PICK SIDE
—
SPREAD
-8.2
PROJ MARGIN
—
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
+0.105Net EPA / play-0.107
+0.026Offense EPA / play-0.018
-0.079Defense EPA / play+0.088
43.1%Offense success %43.0%
41.7%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
GAME NARRATIVE
Early forecast: PHI at 77%, backed by epa edge.
EPA EDGE
PHI generates 0.026 EPA/play on offense. ARI's defense allows 0.088. That's a top-tier efficiency gap.
TEMPO
PHI runs no-huddle on 19% of plays -- a fast tempo that can exploit defensive fatigue.
BLOWOUT PROJ
Model projects a 8.2-point margin.
Multiple signals align in PHI's favor. One of the cleaner setups on the slate.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | — | PHI market line | |
| MONEYLINE | Moneyline not recorded for this game | ||
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
PHI
J.Hurts
QB
301.1SEASON PPR
S.Barkley
RB
232.3SEASON PPR
A.Brown
WR
220.3SEASON PPR
ARI
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Philadelphia EaglesPASSING
J.Hurts3224 yd · 25 TD · 6 INT
RUSHING
S.Barkley1140 yd · 7 TD
J.Hurts421 yd · 8 TD
T.Bigsby344 yd · 2 TD
RECEIVING
D.Smith77 rec · 1008 yd · 4 TD
A.Brown78 rec · 1003 yd · 7 TD
D.Goedert60 rec · 591 yd · 11 TD
S.Barkley37 rec · 273 yd · 2 TD
VS
3,224PASSyds3,366
1,905RUSHyds
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARI@PHIW17 2023 | ARI 35, PHI 31 | PHI | L |
| PHI@ARIW5 2022 | PHI 20, ARI 17 | PHI | W |
| PHI@ARIW15 2020 | PHI 26, ARI 33 | ARI | W |
COMMON QUESTIONSPHI vs ARI
Who is favored in Philadelphia Eagles at Arizona Cardinals?
Our model takes Philadelphia Eagles at 77% win probability. The margin models project PHI by 8.2. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
When do the Philadelphia Eagles and Arizona Cardinals play?
Week 13 of the 2026 season, SUN 4:05 PM.
Who won the last Philadelphia Eagles vs Arizona Cardinals game?
Arizona Cardinals, 35-31 in Week 17 of 2023.
Which team has been better, the Philadelphia Eagles or the Arizona Cardinals?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Philadelphia Eagles: PHI +0.105 against ARI -0.107.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
