DET @ ATL – Week 13 2026
DET
ATL
DET
AWAY
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 13 · 2026 SEASON
ATL
HOME
OUR PICK
Model confidence: ATL 62%Projected margin: -2.1
ATL
PICK SIDE
—
SPREAD
-2.1
PROJ MARGIN
—
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
+0.091Net EPA / play-0.018
+0.081Offense EPA / play-0.021
-0.010Defense EPA / play-0.004
45.2%Offense success %43.7%
41.7%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
WHY THIS PICK
ATL is our early forecast in DET @ ATL (Week 13, 2026). The model assigns 62.1% confidence and projects ATL by 2.1. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so the model re-runs this forecast every Wednesday as the season plays out.
MODEL CONVICTION
Split. The model leans this way with less conviction.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | — | ATL market line | |
| MONEYLINE | Moneyline not recorded for this game | ||
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
DET
J.Gibbs
RB
366.9SEASON PPR
A.St. Brown
WR
324.0SEASON PPR
J.Goff
QB
297.1SEASON PPR
ATL
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Detroit LionsPASSING
J.Goff4564 yd · 34 TD · 8 INT
RUSHING
J.Gibbs1223 yd · 13 TD
D.Montgomery716 yd · 8 TD
J.Goff45 yd · 0 TD
RECEIVING
A.St. Brown117 rec · 1401 yd · 11 TD
J.Williams65 rec · 1117 yd · 7 TD
J.Gibbs77 rec · 616 yd · 5 TD
S.LaPorta40 rec · 489 yd · 3 TD
VS
4,564PASSyds1,982
1,984RUSHyds
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| ATL@DETW3 2023 | ATL 6, DET 20 | DET | W |
| DET@ATLW16 2021 | DET 16, ATL 20 | ATL | W |
| DET@ATLW7 2020 | DET 23, ATL 22 | ATL | L |
COMMON QUESTIONSDET vs ATL
Who is favored in Detroit Lions at Atlanta Falcons?
Our model takes Atlanta Falcons at 62% win probability. The margin models project ATL by 2.1. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
When do the Detroit Lions and Atlanta Falcons play?
Week 13 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Who won the last Detroit Lions vs Atlanta Falcons game?
Detroit Lions, 6-20 in Week 3 of 2023.
Which team has been better, the Detroit Lions or the Atlanta Falcons?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Detroit Lions: DET +0.091 against ATL -0.018.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
