Packers vs Saints – Week 13 2026
GB
NO
GB
AWAY
OUR PICK
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 13 · 2026 SEASON
Caesars Superdome · New Orleans, LA
NO
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Our model favors the Packers over the Saints at 65% win probability. No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Model confidence: GB 65%Our line: GB -5.3
80% range around our line: NO by 12 to GB by 23. Four games in five land inside it.
Betting the GB game? Pro shows whether we flag it as a bet, at what price, and your stake at your unit size →
ODDS
SPREAD
GB —
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
GB -5.3
OUR LINE
MONEYLINE
GB · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
65%
GB · MARKET WIN PROBABILITY
67%
DIFFERENCE
-2%
| SPORTSBOOK | GB | NO | GB WIN % |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -225 | +185 | 67.1% |
PREGAME SNAPSHOTWEEK 13 · WHAT MATTERS AT KICKOFF
TEAM COMPARISON2026 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES
+0.018Net EPA / play-0.148
-0.021 (18)Offense EPA / play-0.054 (23)
-0.039 (11)Defense EPA / play+0.094 (26)
40.7% (24)Offense success %43.1% (15)
PROJECTED MARGINHOW THE FINAL SCORE COULD LAND
GAME NARRATIVE
Early forecast: GB at 65%, backed by epa edge.
EPA EDGE
GB generates -0.021 EPA/play on offense. NO's defense allows 0.094. That's a top-tier efficiency gap.
H2H EDGE
GB has won 3 of the last 4 meetings against NO.
Net-positive signal profile for GB. This forecast updates every Wednesday as the season plays out.
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2026 SEASON
NO
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2026 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Green Bay PackersPASSING
J.Love1408 yd · 10 TD · 3 INT
RUSHING
M.Lloyd112 yd · 2 TD
K.Johnson106 yd · 0 TD
C.Brooks70 yd · 0 TD
RECEIVING
C.Watson26 rec · 474 yd · 6 TD
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 4 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NO@GBW16 2024 | NO 0, GB 34 | GB | W |
| NO@GBW3 2023 | NO 17, GB 18 | GB | W |
| GB@NOW1 2021 | GB 3, NO 38 | GB | L |
| GB@NOW3 2020 | GB 37, NO 30 | GB | W |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 13 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSGB vs NO
Our model takes Green Bay Packers at 65% win probability. The margin models project GB by 5.3. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
Our model favors Green Bay Packers at 65% win probability.
No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Week 13 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Green Bay Packers, NO 0, GB 34 in Week 16 of 2024.
By net EPA per play over the 2026 season, Green Bay Packers: GB +0.018 against NO -0.148.
