2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
LA @ SEA – Week 18 2022
LA
SEA
LA
AWAY
16@19
SEA +3
FINAL · WEEK 18
2022 SEASON
SEA
HOME
TIER B
PICK: SEA
PICK WONATS ✗
Model confidence: SEA 66%Projected margin: 3.7
SEA
PICK SIDE
-5.5
SPREAD
3.7
PROJ MARGIN
-221
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
SEA B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected SEA by 3.7. Actual: 3 points. The model was within 0.7 points of the real margin.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 12 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 2.5 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -5.5 | SEA market line | |
| MODEL ML | -221 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -224 | Won · +$0.45 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
LA
Home Underdog 3-2 ATS (60%)
SEA
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
45°F
WIND
4 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
LA
Cooper Kupp
WR
201.4SEASON PPR
Tyler Higbee
TE
152.0SEASON PPR
Cam Akers
RB
141.3SEASON PPR
SEA
Geno Smith
QB
303.9SEASON PPR
Tyler Lockett
WR
239.3SEASON PPR
DK Metcalf
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 18
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| LA@SEAW16 2025 | LA 37, SEA 38 | LA | L |
| SEA@LAW11 2025 | SEA 19, LA 21 | LA | W |
| SEA@LAW18 2024 | SEA 30, LA 25 | LA | L |
| LA@SEAW9 2024 | LA 26, SEA 20 | LA | W |
| SEA@LAW11 2023 | SEA 16, LA 17 | SEA | L |
WEEK 18 · OTHER GAMES