Rams vs Seahawks – Week 18 2022
LA
SEA
LA
AWAY
16@19
SEA BY 3
FINAL · WEEK 18
2022 SEASON
Lumen Field · Seattle, WA
SEA
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Final: Los Angeles Rams 16, Seattle Seahawks 19.
Going in, our model had favored Seattle Seahawks at 66% win probability, and the pick won.
Out or doubtful: 4 Rams, 1 Seahawks.
Model confidence: SEA 66%Our line: SEA -5.5
ODDS
SPREAD
SEA -5.5
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
SEA -5.5
OUR LINE
MISSED
VS SPREAD
MONEYLINE
SEA · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
66%
TEAM COMPARISON2022 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 18
-0.105Net EPA / play-0.023
-0.088 (29)Offense EPA / play-0.003 (18)
+0.017 (24)Defense EPA / play+0.020 (25)
41.0% (23)Offense success %44.2% (17)
GAME NARRATIVE
SEA B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected SEA by 5.5. Actual: 3 points. The model was within 2.5 points of the real margin.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 12 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 2.5 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
Historical splits, shown for context only. We tested them: picking the situations that beat break-even in training goes 770–760 (50.3%) out of sample, so they are not a betting signal and are not coloured like one.
LA
Home Underdog 3-2 ATS (60%)
SEA
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
45°F
WIND
4 MPH
IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
SEA
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2022 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
INJURY REPORTWEEK 18
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| LA@SEAW16 2025 | LA 37, SEA 38 | LA | L |
| SEA@LAW11 2025 | SEA 19, LA 21 | LA | W |
| SEA@LAW18 2024 | SEA 30, LA 25 | LA | L |
| LA@SEAW9 2024 | LA 26, SEA 20 | LA | W |
| SEA@LAW11 2023 | SEA 16, LA 17 | SEA | L |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 18 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSLA vs SEA
Our model takes Seattle Seahawks at 66% win probability, a Tier B pick. The margin models project SEA by 5.5. The market has SEA at -5.5.
Seattle Seahawks won, LA 16, SEA 19. Our model had favored Seattle Seahawks at 66% win probability, and the pick won.
The market has Seattle Seahawks at -5.5, meaning the book expects Seattle Seahawks to win by 5.5 points.
In Week 18, the Los Angeles Rams were without 4 players (Out or Doubtful) and the Seattle Seahawks were without 1 player (Out or Doubtful).
Sportsbooks have this game at 41.5 combined points. NoPunt's model projects 45.3, 3.8 above the market.
Week 18 of the 2022 season, SUN 4:25 PM.
Seattle Seahawks, LA 37, SEA 38 in Week 16 of 2025.
By net EPA per play over the 2022 season, Seattle Seahawks: LA -0.105 against SEA -0.023.
