Giants vs Eagles – Week 18 2022
NYG
PHI
NYG
AWAY
16@22
PHI BY 6
FINAL · WEEK 18
2022 SEASON
Lincoln Financial Field · Philadelphia, PA
PHI
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Final: New York Giants 16, Philadelphia Eagles 22.
Going in, our model had favored Philadelphia Eagles at 67% win probability, and the pick won.
Out or doubtful: 3 Giants, 5 Eagles.
Model confidence: PHI 67%Our line: PHI -6.0
ODDS
SPREAD
PHI -16.5
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
PHI -6.0
OUR LINE
MISSED
VS SPREAD
MONEYLINE
PHI · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
67%
TEAM COMPARISON2022 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 18
-0.016Net EPA / play+0.172
+0.030 (9)Offense EPA / play+0.107 (3)
+0.046 (28)Defense EPA / play-0.064 (5)
44.9% (14)Offense success %48.3% (3)
GAME NARRATIVE
PHI B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected PHI by 6.0. Actual: 6 points. The model was within 0.0 points of the real margin.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 10.5 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
Historical splits, shown for context only. We tested them: picking the situations that beat break-even in training goes 770–760 (50.3%) out of sample, so they are not a betting signal and are not coloured like one.
NYG
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
PHI
Road Favorite 2-5 ATS (29%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
43°F
WIND
12 MPH
IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
PHI
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2022 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
INJURY REPORTWEEK 18
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYG@PHIW8 2025 | NYG 20, PHI 38 | PHI | W |
| PHI@NYGW6 2025 | PHI 17, NYG 34 | PHI | L |
| NYG@PHIW18 2024 | NYG 13, PHI 20 | PHI | W |
| PHI@NYGW7 2024 | PHI 28, NYG 3 | PHI | W |
| PHI@NYGW18 2023 | PHI 10, NYG 27 | PHI | L |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 18 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSNYG vs PHI
Our model takes Philadelphia Eagles at 67% win probability, a Tier B pick. The margin models project PHI by 6.0. The market has PHI at -16.5.
Philadelphia Eagles won, NYG 16, PHI 22. Our model had favored Philadelphia Eagles at 67% win probability, and the pick won.
The market has Philadelphia Eagles at -16.5, meaning the book expects Philadelphia Eagles to win by 16.5 points.
In Week 18, the New York Giants were without 3 players (Out or Doubtful) and the Philadelphia Eagles were without 5 players (Out or Doubtful).
Sportsbooks have this game at 42.5 combined points. NoPunt's model projects 43.6, 1.1 above the market.
Week 18 of the 2022 season, SUN 4:25 PM.
Philadelphia Eagles, NYG 20, PHI 38 in Week 8 of 2025.
By net EPA per play over the 2022 season, Philadelphia Eagles: NYG -0.016 against PHI +0.172.
