2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
NYG @ PHI – Week 18 2022
NYG
PHI
NYG
AWAY
16@22
PHI +6
FINAL · WEEK 18
2022 SEASON
PHI
HOME
TIER B
PICK: PHI
PICK WONATS ✗
Model confidence: PHI 67%Projected margin: 4.4
PHI
PICK SIDE
-16.5
SPREAD
4.4
PROJ MARGIN
-1075
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
PHI B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected PHI by 4.4. Actual: 6 points. The model was within 1.6 points of the real margin.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 10.5 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -16.5 | PHI market line | |
| MODEL ML | -1075 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -1252 | Won · +$0.09 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
NYG
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
PHI
Road Favorite 2-5 ATS (29%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
43°F
WIND
12 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
NYG
Daniel Jones
QB
289.0SEASON PPR
Saquon Barkley
RB
284.0SEASON PPR
Richie James
WR
138.5SEASON PPR
PHI
Jalen Hurts
QB
378.0SEASON PPR
A.J. Brown
WR
299.6SEASON PPR
DeVonta Smith
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 18
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYG@PHIW8 2025 | NYG 20, PHI 38 | PHI | W |
| PHI@NYGW6 2025 | PHI 17, NYG 34 | PHI | L |
| NYG@PHIW18 2024 | NYG 13, PHI 20 | PHI | W |
| PHI@NYGW7 2024 | PHI 28, NYG 3 | PHI | W |
| PHI@NYGW18 2023 | PHI 10, NYG 27 | PHI | L |
WEEK 18 · OTHER GAMES