2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
DAL @ WAS – Week 18 2022
DAL
WAS
DAL
AWAY
6@26
WAS +20
FINAL · WEEK 18
2022 SEASON
WAS
HOME
TIER A
PICK: DAL
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: DAL 74%Projected margin: -6.6
DAL
PICK SIDE
-7.5
SPREAD
-6.6
PROJ MARGIN
-294
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
DAL A-tier pick misses. WAS takes it.
MISSED
Model picked DAL but WAS won. Projected margin was 6.6 -- the model overestimated by 26.6 points.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 27.5 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -7.5 | DAL market line | |
| MODEL ML | -294 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -320 | Lost · -$1.00 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
DAL
Road Favorite 1-3 ATS (25%)
WAS
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
42°F
WIND
7 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
DAL
CeeDee Lamb
WR
301.6SEASON PPR
Tony Pollard
RB
248.8SEASON PPR
Dak Prescott
QB
198.6SEASON PPR
WAS
Terry McLaurin
WR
229.0SEASON PPR
Curtis Samuel
WR
176.3SEASON PPR
Antonio Gibson
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 18
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| DAL@WASW17 2025 | DAL 30, WAS 23 | DAL | W |
| WAS@DALW7 2025 | WAS 22, DAL 44 | DAL | W |
| WAS@DALW18 2024 | WAS 23, DAL 19 | DAL | L |
| DAL@WASW12 2024 | DAL 34, WAS 26 | WAS | L |
| DAL@WASW18 2023 | DAL 38, WAS 10 | DAL | W |
WEEK 18 · OTHER GAMES