TIER A+PICK: BUF
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: BUF 76%Projected margin: 8.1
GAME NARRATIVE
BUF A+-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked BUF. Projected margin: 8.1. Actual: 12. Off by 3.9 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 4 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 4.0 points.
COLD GAME
30°F at game time. Expect suppressed passing efficiency and lower scoring.
Another data point for the model. A+-tier picks continue to track.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
NE
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
BUF
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
INJURY REPORTWEEK 18
NE5 LISTEDJonnu Smith
TE · Concussion
QUESTIONABLE
Jakobi Meyers
WR · Shoulder
QUESTIONABLE
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS