2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
TEN @ LA – Week 9 2021
TEN
LA
TEN
AWAY
28@16
TEN +12
FINAL · WEEK 9
2021 SEASON
LA
HOME
TIER C
PICK: LA
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: LA 56%Projected margin: 2.6
LA
PICK SIDE
-7.0
SPREAD
2.6
PROJ MARGIN
-274
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
LA C-tier pick misses. TEN takes it.
MISSED
Model picked LA but TEN won. Projected margin was 2.6 -- the model overestimated by 14.6 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 3 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 19.0 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -7.0 | LA market line | |
| MODEL ML | -274 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -350 | Lost · -$1.00 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
TEN
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
LA
Road Favorite 3-5 ATS (38%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2021 SEASON
TEN
Ryan Tannehill
QB
268.4SEASON PPR
Derrick Henry
RB
193.3SEASON PPR
A.J. Brown
WR
180.9SEASON PPR
LA
Cooper Kupp
WR
439.5SEASON PPR
Matthew Stafford
QB
329.7SEASON PPR
Van Jefferson
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 9
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| LA@TENW2 2025 | LA 33, TEN 19 | LA | W |
WEEK 9 · OTHER GAMES