TIER BPICK: MIA
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: MIA 59%Projected margin: 3.6
GAME NARRATIVE
MIA B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked MIA. Projected margin: 3.6. Actual: 8. Off by 4.4 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 4 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 4.0 points.
HIGH WIND
19 MPH winds at game time. Expect suppressed passing efficiency and lower scoring.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
HOU
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Home Underdog 5-3 ATS (63%)
MIA
Divisional 3-2 ATS (60%)Home Underdog 3-2 ATS (60%)
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2021 SEASON
INJURY REPORTWEEK 9
HOU4 LISTEDChristian Kirksey
LB · Thumb
OUT
Hardy Nickerson
LB · Concussion
OUT
Deshaun Watson
QB · Not injury related - personal matter
OUT
MIA2 LISTEDHEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS