2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
NYJ @ IND – Week 9 2021
NYJ
IND
NYJ
AWAY
30@45
IND +15
FINAL · WEEK 9
2021 SEASON
IND
HOME
TIER A+
PICK: IND
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: IND 69%Projected margin: 7.3
IND
PICK SIDE
-10.5
SPREAD
7.3
PROJ MARGIN
-453
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
IND A+-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked IND. Projected margin: 7.3. Actual: 15. Off by 7.7 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 4.5 points.
Another data point for the model. A+-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -10.5 | IND market line | |
| MODEL ML | -453 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -509 | Won · +$0.22 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
NYJ
Home Underdog 3-5 ATS (38%)Divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)
IND
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2021 SEASON
NYJ
Michael Carter
RB
154.4SEASON PPR
Zach Wilson
QB
151.9SEASON PPR
Elijah Moore
WR
138.2SEASON PPR
IND
Jonathan Taylor
RB
373.1SEASON PPR
Carson Wentz
QB
258.0SEASON PPR
Michael Pittman
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 9
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| IND@NYJW11 2024 | IND 28, NYJ 27 | IND | W |
| NYJ@INDW3 2020 | NYJ 7, IND 36 | IND | W |
WEEK 9 · OTHER GAMES