2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
CHI @ PIT – Week 9 2021
CHI
PIT
CHI
AWAY
27@29
PIT +2
FINAL · WEEK 9
2021 SEASON
PIT
HOME
TIER B
PICK: PIT
PICK WONATS ✗
Model confidence: PIT 63%Projected margin: 5.8
PIT
PICK SIDE
-7.0
SPREAD
5.8
PROJ MARGIN
-274
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
PIT B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked PIT. Projected margin: 5.8. Actual: 2. Off by 3.8 points but directionally right.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 5.0 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -7.0 | PIT market line | |
| MODEL ML | -274 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -306 | Won · +$0.36 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
CHI
Divisional 1-4 ATS (20%)Home Underdog 1-4 ATS (20%)
PIT
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
55°F
WIND
7 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2021 SEASON
CHI
Darnell Mooney
WR
219.7SEASON PPR
David Montgomery
RB
195.0SEASON PPR
Justin Fields
QB
126.8SEASON PPR
PIT
Najee Harris
RB
300.7SEASON PPR
Diontae Johnson
WR
274.4SEASON PPR
Ben Roethlisberger
INJURY REPORTWEEK 9
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| PIT@CHIW12 2025 | PIT 28, CHI 31 | CHI | W |
WEEK 9 · OTHER GAMES