Jets
2026 MATCHUP PROJECTION
Browns at Jets
Offseason model projection plus deep team and player data. Priors only — before free agency, the draft, and injuries.
59%
Browns WIN
24–21
PROJ SCORE
Browns -3.0
PROJ MARGIN
Browns WIN%Jets WIN%
59%41%
PROJECTED MARGIN
Likely final margins (SD 13.5 pts). Each team's shaded area is its win probability; the marker is our projected margin.
TEAM EFFICIENCY · 2025
-0.094Net EPA / play-0.274
-0.190Offense EPA / play-0.127
-0.096Defense EPA / play0.147
0.345Offense success %0.407
0.402Defense success %0.456
BY THE NUMBERS
| #24 | Power rank | #32 |
| -0.047 | Model rating | -0.137 |
| 8.0 | Proj. 2026 wins | 5.3 |
| 33% | Playoff odds | 4% |
| -0.288 | Pass EPA/play | -0.180 |
| -0.048 | Rush EPA/play | -0.061 |
| 279/379 | 2025 record pts | 300/503 |
| -0.028 | Strength of sched | 0.008 |
KEY PLAYERS · 2025
Cleveland Browns
| Player | Yds | PPR |
|---|---|---|
| H.Fannin | 744 | 186 |
| Q.Judkins | 998 | 170 |
| J.Jeudy | 607 | 121 |
| D.Sampson | 446 | 88 |
| D.Njoku | 293 | 86 |
| S.Sanders | 1400 | 85 |
New York Jets
| Player | Yds | PPR |
|---|---|---|
| B.Hall |
THE EDGE — DEEP MATCHUP DATA
UNLOCK THE EDGE
Full passing / rushing / receiving splits for both rosters, the defensive matchup mismatches to target, and — once the season kicks off — injury reports and the model's exploit edges for this exact game.
Go Pro. Get the Edge.RECENT MEETINGS
| Season · Wk | Matchup | Final |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 · W10 | Browns @ Jets | 20–27 |
| 2023 · W17 | Jets @ Browns | 20–37 |
| 2022 · W2 | Jets @ Browns | 31–30 |
| 2020 · W16 | Browns @ Jets | 16–23 |
2026 offseason priors from the season Monte-Carlo model — they know the schedule but not free agency, the draft, or injuries. In-season projections take over in September. Full method on the methodology page. Past results. Not financial advice.