Giants
2026 MATCHUP PROJECTION
Cowboys at Giants
Offseason model projection plus deep team and player data. Priors only — before free agency, the draft, and injuries.
54%
Giants WIN
22–23
PROJ SCORE
Giants -1.4
PROJ MARGIN
Cowboys WIN%Giants WIN%
46%54%
PROJECTED MARGIN
Likely final margins (SD 13.5 pts). Each team's shaded area is its win probability; the marker is our projected margin.
TEAM EFFICIENCY · 2025
-0.070Net EPA / play-0.075
0.097Offense EPA / play0.012
0.167Defense EPA / play0.087
0.466Offense success %0.421
0.489Defense success %0.470
BY THE NUMBERS
| #22 | Power rank | #23 |
| -0.035 | Model rating | -0.038 |
| 7.6 | Proj. 2026 wins | 7.6 |
| 27% | Playoff odds | 27% |
| 0.160 | Pass EPA/play | -0.008 |
| 0.005 | Rush EPA/play | 0.036 |
| 471/511 | 2025 record pts | 381/439 |
| 0.005 | Strength of sched | 0.003 |
KEY PLAYERS · 2025
Dallas Cowboys
| Player | Yds | PPR |
|---|---|---|
| D.Prescott | 4552 | 314 |
| G.Pickens | 1429 | 292 |
| J.Williams | 1338 | 243 |
| C.Lamb | 1079 | 201 |
| J.Ferguson | 601 | 188 |
| R.Flournoy | 500 | 114 |
New York Giants
| Player | Yds | PPR |
|---|---|---|
THE EDGE — DEEP MATCHUP DATA
UNLOCK THE EDGE
Full passing / rushing / receiving splits for both rosters, the defensive matchup mismatches to target, and — once the season kicks off — injury reports and the model's exploit edges for this exact game.
Go Pro. Get the Edge.RECENT MEETINGS
| Season · Wk | Matchup | Final |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 · W18 | Cowboys @ Giants | 17–34 |
| 2025 · W2 | Giants @ Cowboys | 37–40 |
| 2024 · W13 | Giants @ Cowboys | 20–27 |
| 2024 · W4 | Cowboys @ Giants | 20–15 |
| 2023 · W10 | Giants @ Cowboys | 17–49 |
| 2023 · W1 | Cowboys @ Giants | 40–0 |
2026 offseason priors from the season Monte-Carlo model — they know the schedule but not free agency, the draft, or injuries. In-season projections take over in September. Full method on the methodology page. Past results. Not financial advice.