Titans
2026 MATCHUP PROJECTION
Colts at Titans
Offseason model projection plus deep team and player data. Priors only — before free agency, the draft, and injuries.
69%
Colts WIN
26–19
PROJ SCORE
Colts -6.7
PROJ MARGIN
Colts WIN%Titans WIN%
69%31%
PROJECTED MARGIN
Likely final margins (SD 13.5 pts). Each team's shaded area is its win probability; the marker is our projected margin.
TEAM EFFICIENCY · 2025
0.068Net EPA / play-0.260
0.072Offense EPA / play-0.160
0.004Defense EPA / play0.100
0.463Offense success %0.374
0.455Defense success %0.451
BY THE NUMBERS
| #11 | Power rank | #31 |
| 0.034 | Model rating | -0.130 |
| 9.5 | Proj. 2026 wins | 5.7 |
| 59% | Playoff odds | 6% |
| 0.056 | Pass EPA/play | -0.221 |
| 0.094 | Rush EPA/play | -0.057 |
| 466/412 | 2025 record pts | 284/478 |
| -0.014 | Strength of sched | -0.005 |
KEY PLAYERS · 2025
Indianapolis Colts
| Player | Yds | PPR |
|---|---|---|
| J.Taylor | 1963 | 362 |
| D.Jones | 3101 | 226 |
| M.Pittman | 784 | 202 |
| T.Warren | 825 | 189 |
| A.Pierce | 1003 | 183 |
| J.Downs | 564 | 138 |
Tennessee Titans
| Player | Yds | PPR |
|---|---|---|
| C.Ward |
THE EDGE — DEEP MATCHUP DATA
UNLOCK THE EDGE
Full passing / rushing / receiving splits for both rosters, the defensive matchup mismatches to target, and — once the season kicks off — injury reports and the model's exploit edges for this exact game.
Go Pro. Get the Edge.RECENT MEETINGS
| Season · Wk | Matchup | Final |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 · W8 | Titans @ Colts | 14–38 |
| 2025 · W3 | Colts @ Titans | 41–20 |
| 2024 · W16 | Titans @ Colts | 30–38 |
| 2024 · W6 | Colts @ Titans | 20–17 |
| 2023 · W13 | Colts @ Titans | 31–28 |
| 2023 · W5 | Titans @ Colts | 16–23 |
2026 offseason priors from the season Monte-Carlo model — they know the schedule but not free agency, the draft, or injuries. In-season projections take over in September. Full method on the methodology page. Past results. Not financial advice.