Likely final margins (SD 13.5 pts). Each team's shaded area is its win probability; the marker is our projected margin.
TEAM EFFICIENCY · 2025
0.105Net EPA / play-0.107
0.026Offense EPA / play-0.018
-0.079Defense EPA / play0.088
0.431Offense success %0.430
0.417Defense success %0.485
BY THE NUMBERS
#8
Power rank
#27
0.052
Model rating
-0.053
10.0
Proj. 2026 wins
7.0
70%
Playoff odds
17%
0.044
Pass EPA/play
0.002
0.005
Rush EPA/play
-0.059
379/325
2025 record pts
355/488
-0.008
Strength of sched
0.011
KEY PLAYERS · 2025
Philadelphia Eagles
Player
Pos
G
Yds
TD
PPR
J.Hurts
QB
16
3224
33
301
S.Barkley
RB
16
1413
9
232
A.Brown
WR
15
1003
7
220
D.Smith
WR
17
1008
4
202
D.Goedert
TE
15
591
11
185
T.Bigsby
RB
14
376
2
53
Arizona Cardinals
Player
Pos
G
Yds
TD
PPR
T.McBride
THE EDGE — DEEP MATCHUP DATA
UNLOCK THE EDGE
Full passing / rushing / receiving splits for both rosters, the defensive matchup mismatches to target, and — once the season kicks off — injury reports and the model's exploit edges for this exact game.
2026 offseason priors from the season Monte-Carlo model — they know the schedule but not free agency, the draft, or injuries. In-season projections take over in September. Full method on the methodology page. Past results. Not financial advice.