Titans
2026 MATCHUP PROJECTION
Steelers at Titans
Offseason model projection plus deep team and player data. Priors only — before free agency, the draft, and injuries.
65%
Steelers WIN
25–20
PROJ SCORE
Steelers -5.2
PROJ MARGIN
Steelers WIN%Titans WIN%
65%35%
PROJECTED MARGIN
Likely final margins (SD 13.5 pts). Each team's shaded area is its win probability; the marker is our projected margin.
TEAM EFFICIENCY · 2025
0.007Net EPA / play-0.260
0.025Offense EPA / play-0.160
0.018Defense EPA / play0.100
0.440Offense success %0.374
0.433Defense success %0.451
BY THE NUMBERS
| #17 | Power rank | #31 |
| 0.003 | Model rating | -0.130 |
| 8.6 | Proj. 2026 wins | 5.7 |
| 46% | Playoff odds | 6% |
| 0.029 | Pass EPA/play | -0.221 |
| 0.019 | Rush EPA/play | -0.057 |
| 397/387 | 2025 record pts | 284/478 |
| -0.003 | Strength of sched | -0.005 |
KEY PLAYERS · 2025
Pittsburgh Steelers
| Player | Yds | PPR |
|---|---|---|
| A.Rodgers | 3322 | 227 |
| K.Gainwell | 1023 | 221 |
| J.Warren | 1291 | 217 |
| D.Metcalf | 862 | 187 |
| P.Freiermuth | 486 | 114 |
| C.Austin | 372 | 86 |
Tennessee Titans
| Player | Yds | PPR |
|---|---|---|
THE EDGE — DEEP MATCHUP DATA
UNLOCK THE EDGE
Full passing / rushing / receiving splits for both rosters, the defensive matchup mismatches to target, and — once the season kicks off — injury reports and the model's exploit edges for this exact game.
Go Pro. Get the Edge.RECENT MEETINGS
| Season · Wk | Matchup | Final |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 · W9 | Titans @ Steelers | 16–20 |
| 2021 · W15 | Titans @ Steelers | 13–19 |
| 2020 · W7 | Steelers @ Titans | 27–24 |
2026 offseason priors from the season Monte-Carlo model — they know the schedule but not free agency, the draft, or injuries. In-season projections take over in September. Full method on the methodology page. Past results. Not financial advice.