Lions
2026 MATCHUP PROJECTION
Titans at Lions
Offseason model projection plus deep team and player data. Priors only — before free agency, the draft, and injuries.
77%
Lions WIN
17–27
PROJ SCORE
Lions -10.2
PROJ MARGIN
Titans WIN%Lions WIN%
23%77%
PROJECTED MARGIN
Likely final margins (SD 13.5 pts). Each team's shaded area is its win probability; the marker is our projected margin.
TEAM EFFICIENCY · 2025
-0.260Net EPA / play0.091
-0.160Offense EPA / play0.081
0.100Defense EPA / play-0.010
0.374Offense success %0.452
0.451Defense success %0.417
BY THE NUMBERS
| #31 | Power rank | #9 |
| -0.130 | Model rating | 0.046 |
| 5.7 | Proj. 2026 wins | 9.8 |
| 6% | Playoff odds | 64% |
| -0.221 | Pass EPA/play | 0.168 |
| -0.057 | Rush EPA/play | -0.043 |
| 284/478 | 2025 record pts | 481/413 |
| -0.005 | Strength of sched | -0.011 |
KEY PLAYERS · 2025
Tennessee Titans
| Player | Yds | PPR |
|---|---|---|
| C.Ward | 3169 | 187 |
| T.Pollard | 1288 | 186 |
| C.Dike | 441 | 128 |
| C.Okonkwo | 560 | 124 |
| E.Ayomanor | 515 | 117 |
| T.Spears | 547 | 112 |
Detroit Lions
| Player | Yds | PPR |
|---|---|---|
| J.Gibbs |
THE EDGE — DEEP MATCHUP DATA
UNLOCK THE EDGE
Full passing / rushing / receiving splits for both rosters, the defensive matchup mismatches to target, and — once the season kicks off — injury reports and the model's exploit edges for this exact game.
Go Pro. Get the Edge.RECENT MEETINGS
| Season · Wk | Matchup | Final |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 · W8 | Titans @ Lions | 14–52 |
| 2020 · W15 | Lions @ Titans | 25–46 |
2026 offseason priors from the season Monte-Carlo model — they know the schedule but not free agency, the draft, or injuries. In-season projections take over in September. Full method on the methodology page. Past results. Not financial advice.