Broncos
2026 MATCHUP PROJECTION
Rams at Broncos
Offseason model projection plus deep team and player data. Priors only — before free agency, the draft, and injuries.
51%
Rams WIN
22–22
PROJ SCORE
Rams -0.2
PROJ MARGIN
Rams WIN%Broncos WIN%
51%49%
PROJECTED MARGIN
Likely final margins (SD 13.5 pts). Each team's shaded area is its win probability; the marker is our projected margin.
TEAM EFFICIENCY · 2025
0.206Net EPA / play0.138
0.145Offense EPA / play0.050
-0.061Defense EPA / play-0.088
0.518Offense success %0.442
0.420Defense success %0.367
BY THE NUMBERS
| #1 | Power rank | #5 |
| 0.103 | Model rating | 0.069 |
| 10.8 | Proj. 2026 wins | 10.0 |
| 80% | Playoff odds | 70% |
| 0.229 | Pass EPA/play | 0.084 |
| 0.026 | Rush EPA/play | 0.000 |
| 518/346 | 2025 record pts | 401/311 |
| 0.005 | Strength of sched | 0.001 |
KEY PLAYERS · 2025
Los Angeles Rams
| Player | Yds | PPR |
|---|---|---|
| P.Nacua | 1820 | 375 |
| M.Stafford | 4707 | 350 |
| K.Williams | 1533 | 263 |
| D.Adams | 789 | 223 |
| C.Parkinson | 408 | 130 |
| B.Corum | 782 | 122 |
Denver Broncos
| Player | Yds | PPR |
|---|---|---|
| B.Nix |
THE EDGE — DEEP MATCHUP DATA
UNLOCK THE EDGE
Full passing / rushing / receiving splits for both rosters, the defensive matchup mismatches to target, and — once the season kicks off — injury reports and the model's exploit edges for this exact game.
Go Pro. Get the Edge.2026 offseason priors from the season Monte-Carlo model — they know the schedule but not free agency, the draft, or injuries. In-season projections take over in September. Full method on the methodology page. Past results. Not financial advice.