Jets
2026 MATCHUP PROJECTION
Raiders at Jets
Offseason model projection plus deep team and player data. Priors only — before free agency, the draft, and injuries.
52%
Jets WIN
22–23
PROJ SCORE
Jets -0.7
PROJ MARGIN
Raiders WIN%Jets WIN%
48%52%
PROJECTED MARGIN
Likely final margins (SD 13.5 pts). Each team's shaded area is its win probability; the marker is our projected margin.
TEAM EFFICIENCY · 2025
-0.240Net EPA / play-0.274
-0.215Offense EPA / play-0.127
0.024Defense EPA / play0.147
0.376Offense success %0.407
0.450Defense success %0.456
BY THE NUMBERS
| #30 | Power rank | #32 |
| -0.120 | Model rating | -0.137 |
| 5.5 | Proj. 2026 wins | 5.3 |
| 6% | Playoff odds | 4% |
| -0.187 | Pass EPA/play | -0.180 |
| -0.261 | Rush EPA/play | -0.061 |
| 241/432 | 2025 record pts | 300/503 |
| 0.011 | Strength of sched | 0.008 |
KEY PLAYERS · 2025
Las Vegas Raiders
| Player | Yds | PPR |
|---|---|---|
| A.Jeanty | 1321 | 245 |
| B.Bowers | 682 | 176 |
| G.Smith | 3025 | 174 |
| T.Tucker | 747 | 162 |
| M.Mayer | 328 | 74 |
| J.Meyers | 352 | 68 |
New York Jets
| Player | Yds | PPR |
|---|---|---|
| B.Hall |
THE EDGE — DEEP MATCHUP DATA
UNLOCK THE EDGE
Full passing / rushing / receiving splits for both rosters, the defensive matchup mismatches to target, and — once the season kicks off — injury reports and the model's exploit edges for this exact game.
Go Pro. Get the Edge.RECENT MEETINGS
| Season · Wk | Matchup | Final |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 · W10 | Jets @ Raiders | 12–16 |
| 2020 · W13 | Raiders @ Jets | 31–28 |
2026 offseason priors from the season Monte-Carlo model — they know the schedule but not free agency, the draft, or injuries. In-season projections take over in September. Full method on the methodology page. Past results. Not financial advice.